Plenty of clouds and a few showers accompany cool temperatures

Early Week Weather

A new weather regime has taken up residence across the Finger Lakes and will be holding fast for quite some time.

A large area of low pressure is stalled out over eastern Canada, partly the remains of Tropical Storm Phillipe.

This low is just close enough to bring some clouds into our region and influence the development of lake effect, but just far enough away to keep any directly associated precipitation to our north.

Lake effect and small impulses of energy rotating around the low will be the primary weather makers for our area over the next few days until the low dissipates.

For today, southwest winds will keep most of the lake effect activity out of the area. A few stray showers are still expected, mostly this afternoon, but many areas will probably get through today with little to no rain.

Skies will be mixed with some sunny breaks between a variety of cloud types. Overall, it will probably be rather cloudy with some occasional sun rather than the other way around.

The southwest winds will continue to be on the blustery side, but should not be quite as strong as yesterday. Wind speeds will generally be 10-15 mph this morning, dropping back to around 10 mph this afternoon for all but areas along and west of I-390. Top wind gusts, occurring this morning, will be 25-30 mph.

These will be cool winds and temperatures today should not be much different than yesterday. Most areas will be between 50-55 degrees this afternoon, dropping back into the 40s tonight. A few pockets of upper 30s will be possible in the usually colder locations, depending on the overnight cloud cover.

Tuesday will be a bit cloudier with a higher chance for showers as a packet of atmospheric energy rotates through the region. While all areas have a chance for some showers, especially in the afternoon, areas downwind of Lake Erie across the western and northern Finger Lakes will have a higher chance for some steady rain.

Winds will continue to come in from the southwest with speeds up to 10 mph. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the mid 50s with cooler higher terrain.

Clouds and showers will continue Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. This should keep morning lows generally in the mid 40s.

By Wednesday, the low will start to dissipate, leading to an increasing chance for some sunshine late in the day. High temperatures should also get a slight nudge upward to the mid and upper 50s.

Calendar Sales Begin TOMORROW

Before going on with the forecast, I want to give a quick mention that my second annual Finger Lakes Weather Calendar & Almanac will go on presale TOMORROW, Tuesday, October 10^th. This year’s calendar is once again full of amazing local pictures, informative weather statistics, and fascinating historical events.

New this year, the calendars will be printed locally in the Finger Lakes on improved paper stock, and they will be shipped with a cardboard insert for extra stability. The tracking stickers will be an optional add-on for $1, which means I also dropped the base price a matching dollar to keep the same value as last year.

And, of course, there will be a special presale price which will only be effective until October 30^th.

Be on the lookout for the calendar presale links in tomorrow’s blog post! Calendar sales have become a key source of funding for FLX Weather amidst the rising costs of everything, so I truly appreciate your support!

Now, back to the forecast.

Late Week, Weekend Weather

An area of high pressure will slide in for our late week weather as a strong weather system develops over the middle of the county.

This should bring us a mix of sun and clouds on Thursday, with winds turning to the northwest. The northwest wind will erase the small gains we made with the temperature on Wednesday, returning highs to the 50-55 degree range.

Depending on the clouds and winds Thursday night, temperatures could end up chilly. This remains uncertain, however, so I’ve kept a conservative mid-40s forecast in the 7-day graphic for now.

Friday will have sun and clouds, with the clouds probably increasing throughout the day. With light winds eventually turning the southeast, temperatures may poke back up into the upper half of the 50s.

Another wet weekend looks likely as the large system from the middle of the nation makes its way eastward and redevelops along the east coast.

The details are, of course, too sketchy this far out, but in general, Saturday looks rainier than Sunday, and there is a potential for some heavy rain totals.

Behind this system early next week, a cool, unsettled weather pattern will persist, not too dissimilar to the pattern we are currently in.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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