Above Average Temperatures
High pressure to our southeast continues to dominate our weather locally, but a cold front will approach Friday afternoon and ultimately put an end to the warmth.
Skies are clear throughout the region this morning, leading to another wide range in morning lows. It is not as cold as yesterday morning, though. Likewise, this afternoon should be a bit warmer than yesterday as well.
Most places will see afternoon highs in the upper 50s. Low 60s are likely through the Genesee Valley and into the broad river valleys of the Southern Tier. A few mid 50s will be found in higher elevations.
Sunny skies will persist for much of the day. Some thin clouds will mix in during the afternoon hours but should not block much of the sunshine.
Winds will be light today with speeds at or under 5 mph. The wind will be southerly, but may wobble around between coming from the southeast, south, and southwest.
Skies may clear out for the evening hours, but clouds will eventually build in overnight. The south wind will increase as well with speeds at or over 10 mph by midnight and persisting overnight.
Overnight lows will be well above average as a result, only bottoming out in the mid 40s. A few pockets of low 40s across the southeastern Finger Lakes will be possible.
Friday will be cloudy, but continued breezy south winds will push temperatures up, anyway. Afternoon highs will be similar to today with upper 50s and pockets of low 60s.
Rain will move in from the west during the early to mid afternoon hours. This will be a widespread, steady rain that will persist into the evening hours. Within the broader area of rain, there may be a narrow line or two of heavier downpours and gusty winds.
The rain will gradually taper off during the late evening and overnight hours as winds turn to the northwest.
Cooler, Active Pattern
Once the rain from the cold front moves on, a few showers will develop off of Lake Ontario, moving south into the heart of the Finger Lakes. These showers will mainly be light and sporadic. A little wet snow could mix in.
The showers will linger into Saturday morning but will gradually diminish. Clouds, too, should break up in the afternoon, allowing for at least mixed skies for a time.
Winds Saturday will be from the north-northwest with speeds of 10-15 mph. Gusts will be 25-30 mph with a few gusts over 30 mph in the southeastern quadrant of the region.
Temperatures will struggle to rise much, only going from morning lows in the mid and upper 30s to afternoon highs near or just above 40 degrees.
Clouds will return Saturday night as a small disturbance approaches from the north. This will bring a few showers and flurries in for Sunday, especially during the morning hours. Winds will remain blustery, building to near 15 mph in the late morning and early afternoon hours. These winds will be from the northwest again, with gusts near or slightly over 30 mph.
Temperatures may get a couple of degrees warmer than Saturday with highs Sunday in the low and mid 40s.
Monday will have another chance for sunshine, though clouds will increase late in the day as another weather system makes its approach. Winds will be light, but from the north, keeping highs mostly below 40 degrees.
A strong weather system is expected on Tuesday with widespread rain and strong winds. While still early, there is a good chance for wind gusts over 40 mph and a decent chance for gusts at least near 50 mph, if not stronger.
Temperatures will get a small boost into the mid 40s with this system, but by Thanksgiving, a new pattern of cold temperatures will be taking a firm grasp. Daily highs in the 30s are looking commonplace through the end of November, which probably means some snow will end up in the forecast here or there as well.
Quick Calendar Update
Yesterday, I received the last of my calendars from my local print shop in Auburn. The first batch of presale orders also went out in the mail. There will be several more days of packing up and shipping out presale orders before I am caught up to current day orders.
I continue to be super impressed and absolutely obsessed with the high quality of this calendar, thanks to my friends at Finger Lakes Press in Auburn. This is a top-notch, professional product of outstanding quality. When packing orders yesterday, I noted that the package for a shipping a single calendar weighs nearly twice as much as last year’s calendar, a true testament to the increased quality of the overall product.
If you did not get in on the preorders, there is still plenty of time to get yours. These make a wonderful, locally made, unique and useful gift, too. And, the funds raised go directly towards supporting FLX Weather’s 2024 budget. Get your copy of the calendar here!
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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