Cold and windy Tuesday with areas of lake effect snow late


finger lakes weather forecast tuesday november 28 2023 mixed skies lake effect snow windy lake effect snow alerts
For most of the FLX, today will just be windy and cold. Snow will impact the northeastern corner of the region late this afternoon and through the evening. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Wind and Snow

As low pressure lingers and strengthens over eastern Canada, an area of high pressure will start to bump in from the southwest.

The interaction between these pressure systems will shift and increase our winds today, which in turn will move the lake effect snow bands around.

Already, the snows off Lake Erie have shifted south. Some occasional snow showers linger early this morning across the Southern Tier, but the Lake Ontario band remains well to the north over the Tug Hill.

This has much of the region is starting with partly cloudy to mostly clear skies between the lake effect bands. Mixed to sunny skies will continue through much of the morning.

Winds will increase through the morning, reaching peak speeds by the late morning hours. These winds will persist through the mid-afternoon, with speeds over 15 mph and gusts as high as 40 mph. The wind direction will shift from the west to the northwest.

finger lakes weather snow map tuesday november 28 2023 see blog post text for description of snow amounts.
The heaviest snow, with locally up to a foot, will fall across northern Cayuga County into Onondaga County, including areas near, west, and south of Syracuse. Click to enlarge.

Lake snows off Ontario will enter the northeastern Finger Lakes during the afternoon hours. The band is not expected to make it much further south than Wayne, central Cayuga, and extreme northern Cortland counties. Wayne and southern Cayuga counties have a Winter Weather Advisory.

The heaviest snow will focus over northern Cayuga and Onondaga counties between 4 PM and midnight. Localized amounts up to a foot will be possible within the core of heaviest snow. Both of these areas have a Lake Effect Snow Warning.

Syracuse will be on the northern edge of this area, so those with travel plans in Syracuse and heading west and south should expect some difficult travel this evening.

Elsewhere, Lake Erie will supply several inches of snow across Allegany and southwestern Steuben counties. Through the middle of the Finger Lakes, from Batavia to Penn Yan to Ithaca, only non-accumulating flurries are expected at most.

Temperatures will be cold, so snow should easily stick where it falls, including on untreated roadways. Afternoon highs will be near or just above 30 degrees for lower elevations, while middle and higher elevations will stick to the upper 20s.

Evening temperatures will quickly drop to the low and mid 20s with overnight lows in the upper 10s and low 20s. Winds will lessen somewhat overnight, but gusts over 25 mph will still be possible.

The wind will turn to the southwest after midnight, lifting the snow bands to the north. By Wednesday morning, only a few stray flurries will linger in our area. A few additional flurries will be possible on Wednesday as warmer air begins its first approach.

Wednesday will still be cool, though, with highs in the low and mid 30s.

Hand Drawn Snow Maps

Did you know that my snow maps are ALWAYS hand drawn? Every little curve, bump, and bubble in the snow amounts is a deliberate decision that I make. Most other snow maps you see online are either computer generated from a suite of model data or a generalized broad-brush that misses out on key details.example of the 2024 weather calendar and almanac from finger lakes weather in a white room with fall plants on a table

Just creating the snow map graphic usually takes me 30 minutes or more as I tweak and adjust minute details, add in annotations, and include unique features such as the confidence and travel ratings. This does not include the days of forecasting that usually precede even starting the map.

This time and dedication is the direct result of you, my supporters. Without your financial backing, I would not be able to do this. Unfortunately, as costs continue to rise, so does the need for additional funding.

That is why, last year, I began the produce a high quality, unique calendar and almanac. Now in its second year, the calendar has seen massive upgrades in paper quality and is now printed locally in Auburn. This is truly a top-notch production and the quality will rival any other calendar you can purchase. The same attention to detail and sky-high expectations I pour into my snow maps, I poured into this calendar.

With stunningly beautiful local photos donated by FLX Weather users and a bevy of local weather statistics, records, and past weather events, this is truly a one-of-a-kind product.

Your calendar purchases directly support my work and go straight into my 2024 operating budget. It is a vital piece of the funding I need to continue my work.

You can read more about and easily order your calendar on the 2024 Calendar and Almanac page. Order a few extra for a great, locally sourced and unique gift. Orders ship within one business day.

» Get your calendar here!

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tue nov 28 | tues, windy pm lake snows near 30 | wed, a few flurries low 30 | thur, sun and clouds mid 40 | fri, rain maybe some snow? low 40 | sat, sun and clouds low 40 | sun, late rain mid 40 | mon, scattered showers mid 40
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Milder Weather

A steady southwest wind and a mix of thin clouds and sunshine will help boost temperatures on Thursday.

Even higher elevations should push to 40 degrees and most of the Finger Lakes will easily reach the mid 40s. Wind speeds will be around 10 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

Clouds will increase Thursday night with southwest winds persisting. This will keep temperatures mild with overnight lows in the mid 30s.

Rain will spread in from the south on Friday. The timing and intensity of the rain are still a bit uncertain, as is the chance for some late day higher elevation snow to mix in.

Friday should have highs in the low 40s with overnight lows in the low 30s as precipitation comes to an end.

Saturday will have a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the low 40s.

The next system will move in later Sunday or Sunday night. This should primarily be wet, not white, with daytime temperatures remaining well into the 40s and overnight temperatures in the mid and upper 30s.

Unsettled weather will persist for much of next week, but it is uncertain if it will get cold enough for any of the precipitation to turn out as snow. A lack of significantly cold air is likely to persist into mid-December, with today possibly being the coldest day over the next 2 weeks.

finger lakes weather 2023 calendar and almanac get your copy here! makes a great gift!

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tue nov 28 | tues, windy pm lake snows near 30 | wed, a few flurries low 30 | thur, sun and clouds mid 40 | fri, rain maybe some snow? low 40 | sat, sun and clouds low 40 | sun, late rain mid 40 | mon, scattered showers mid 40
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

2 Responses

  1. Laura K.

    Just want to thank you again for your no hype forecast. I was watching the news yesterday, and I knew I just needed to check your daily post to be sure I got more reliable information. Also, really love the calendar. This is my second year purchasing, and it is worth every penny.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil

      Thank you so much for your kind words and support!