Mid-Week Weather
Locally heavy rain will be possible again today while rain from the remains of Hurricane Debby may impact the area late this week.
Note: This post was delayed due to a web server issue that has been resolved. This post was written around 11 AM Tuesday.
A frontal boundary that brought showers and storms to the area yesterday and last night is stalled out just to the south over Pennsylvania. An area of low pressure is moving along this front through the Upper Great Lakes and will pass by this afternoon and evening.
On the bright side, since our region is on the cool side of the front, severe thunderstorms will not be a threat in our area. Already, though, a tornado watch is in effect for parts of Michigan and Ohio. It is a sigh of relief to be missing out on that type of weather for a change.
However, on the north side of these thunderstorms, widespread rain is moving through Michigan, southern Ontario, and into western New York. This rain will push into the Finger Lakes over the next few hours.
More often than not, it will be raining this afternoon and into the early evening. Some of the rain may be steadily moderate to heavy at times, particularly across the west-to-east midsection and southern half of the region. Another way to think of this would be for areas roughly south of Route 20, which runs through Canandaigua, Geneva, Auburn, and Skaneateles.
In these areas, locally 1-2 inches could fall. Many areas saw 0.5 to 1.5 inches yesterday and last night. There could be some localized minor to slight flooding as a result of today’s heavy rain, but the greater concern with today’s rain is how it may set things up later in the week.
Temperatures today will be in the mid 70s, dropping to the mid and upper 50s tonight. The rain should end this evening, and skies may clear overnight, but some areas of fog will be possible as well.
Wednesday will be a quiet and comfortable day. Expect a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the mid 70s. Thursday, too, should be mainly quiet, though there will likely be an increase in clouds later in the day. Temperatures will hold steady in the mid 70s.
Concern Rising from Debby
Thursday evening, a band of rain out ahead of the remains of Hurricane Debby may lift north through the region. This rain looks as though it will move along steadily, not posing much of a threat to the area.
However, it is looking increasingly likely that rain more directly associated with the remains of Debby will stream north into the area on Friday.
Now, it remains too early to pinpoint where the heaviest rain may fall. However, the atmosphere will transform into a tropical airmass with the remains of Debby.
Areas of heavy rain will result, with a 2 to 4 inch rain, with locally higher amounts, easily attainable over a large area. Whether this ends up occurring in the Finger Lakes or not is uncertain.
On top of all the other rain this week, that much rain would almost certainly produce widespread flooding concerns and possibly some localized significant flooding.
While the chances for this heavy rain have been increasing, it is only Tuesday. When dealing with the remains of a slow-moving tropical system, that is a very long time and the models will almost certainly shift.
It is a similar type of waiting game we have to go through with snowstorms.
So, at this point, be aware of the potential and continue to check back daily for more updates.
Rain may linger into early Saturday but should depart by the afternoon at the latest. A few showers will be possible Sunday into Monday.
Temperatures throughout this time period will remain in the mid 70s, though it will become very humid once again on Friday as the remains of Debby move through.
Quieter weather is expected next week with temperatures generally holding in the 70s.
More Information:
» Finger Lakes Weather Radar
» Zip Code Forecasts
» Get the FLX Weather Mobile App
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Don’t Miss an Important Update
