Incoming High Pressure
As low pressure departs northern New England, a large high pressure over the Great Lakes will slide east over our area.
To start off today, though, skies are cloudy and narrow bands of lake effect precipitation are streaming south off Lake Ontario. Most of this is falling as rain, but some hilltops are seeing snowflakes in the air.
A blustery north-northwest wind will continue to support limited precipitation for the first half of this morning and clouds into the first half of the afternoon.
Gradually, dry air will start to build in and the clouds should begin to break up. Wind speeds will also peak during the late morning and early afternoon, then gradually start to weaken.
Wind speeds will be up to 15 mph at times with gusts over 30 mph. These winds will pump cold air into the region as well, with highs mainly in the low 40s today, though a few of the typically warmer urban and valley locations may get as high as 45 degrees.
Skies should be mostly clear by sunset with winds, still from the north, dropping to around 5 mph. Temperatures will quickly fall through the 30s this evening and into the low and mid 20s overnight. Colder pockets may slip into the upper 10s.
Skies will be sunny throughout the day on Wednesday with just a few late thin clouds possible. Winds will be light from the east and northeast, and afternoon highs will manage the mid 40s for most areas.
Clouds will increase Wednesday night, holding temperatures to the upper 20s and low 30s. Winds will also turn to the southeast with speeds as high as 10 mph.
A weather system will approach from the southwest on Thursday, but high pressure is expected to hold fast and deflect any precipitation. Skies will get cloudy, though some sunlight may filter through at times, but no rain is expected.
High temperatures on Thursday will be similar to Wednesday, mostly in the mid 40s.
Weekend Uncertainties
Thursday’s weather system will redevelop along the Mid-Atlantic coast, head northeast, and merge with another Atlantic low by the weekend. Meanwhile, high pressure will weaken but remain over our area.
As this process unfolds, Thursday’s clouds should give way to an increase in sunshine for Friday. Winds will actually turn back to the northwest with speeds around 10 mph, but temperatures will also increase, reaching the upper 40s.
The air will be quite dry on Friday, especially in Central New York. With the wind, early drought conditions, and dead vegetation, the brush fire risk will likely increase for Friday.
Clouds and precipitation will try to spiral in from the east on Saturday but are not expected to succeed in making it this far west. Instead, as things currently stand, a more sun than clouds are expected. Highs should be around 50 degrees.
Northwest winds will again be blustery, and while the atmosphere will not be quite as dry as on Friday, the brushfire risk will likely remain.
Winds will lessen on Sunday as the complex low pressure system meanders east further out over the Atlantic. However, low pressure north of the upper Great Lakes may make a connection to the Atlantic low, increasing our clouds.
Temperatures should continue to nudge upward, with highs in the low 50s.
Any slight shifts in the location or evolution of this complex pattern could likewise change our forecast this weekend.
A few showers may be possible on Monday as the Great Lakes low passes through, but significant rain looks unlikely. Much of next week looks mainly quiet as well, with some chances for precipitation late in the week.
More Information:
» Finger Lakes Weather Radar
» Zip Code Forecasts
» Get the FLX Weather Mobile App
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
2025 Calendar Update
Unfortunately, I am not able to offer a calendar for 2025. There were several factors that went into this decision, many of them beyond my control. Technological issues and high costs were among the chief reasons.
I know this is disappointing for you, as it is for me. I had high hopes for this year and had already put a lot of work into another great calendar. But, that will give me a head start on hopefully bringing the calendar back for 2026.
The calendar sales have paid for many of the expenses directly related to running FLX Weather over the last two years. This includes basics like web hosting and subscriptions to various aspects of the website, but also more specialized subscriptions like access to model data.
Without the calendar sales, 2025 remains unfunded. This will make it even more difficult for me to do my work producing the weather forecasts you rely on, especially during active and hazardous weather.
If you are able to make a one-time donation, or even better a monthly contribution, please consider doing so to secure the funding necessary for another year. Thank you for your consideration, generosity, and support.
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