Morning showers, late day thunderstorms in the Finger Lakes

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday june 13 2018 severe thunderstorm slight risk
Rain will move through the Finger Lakes this morning, followed by a mostly dry afternoon and a couple of evening thunderstorms. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Rain Early, Storms Late

4:45PM UPDATE- A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. I WILL HAVE MORE UPDATES THIS EVENING. STAY TUNED.

Wednesday will start and end with some rain while the afternoon turns out mostly dry.

A batch of showers is moving through the Finger Lakes early Wednesday morning. This rain is associated with a disturbance that also serves as a leading edge to some humid air.

Showers will continue this morning, though the rain will become much more scattered after 9 am. A few showers may even linger into the early afternoon hours.

finger lakes interactive weather radar
Be sure to keep an eye on the radar, especially Wednesday evening. Live, interactive, and mobile-friendly!

Most of the afternoon will be dry, though. A little sun may try to break out as well, but there will still be plenty of cloud cover to contend with.

Still, high temperatures should manage to reach about 80 degrees with dew points in the mid and upper 60s.

While warm and muggy at the surface, conditions throughout the atmosphere will only be marginal for thunderstorm development.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will make their way back into Western New York during the late afternoon, spreading across the Finger Lakes roughly around or just after sunset.

The Storm Prediction Center has our area in their Level 2 (Slight) risk area for severe thunderstorms. I think this is overdone and am expecting very little if any severe weather. Any severe weather that does occur should be very brief and very localized. Gusty winds and some small hail are the main concerns.

The thunderstorm threat should end by 10 or 11 pm as a cold front moves through.

Windy Thursday

Skies will start to clear overnight behind the front. Gusty winds will already be in place before the front, but the wind will swing around to the west-northwest and increase.

The strongest winds are expected Thursday morning when gusts of 40 mph are possible over most of the Finger Lakes. The wind will slowly abate during the afternoon hour, but gusts over 30 mph will continue to be possible into the evening.

Outside of the wind, Thursday will be a fine day. The sun should shine between some clouds with temperatures reaching into the low and mid 70s.

Temperatures Thursday night should dip back into the low 50s.

Weekend Preview

Friday should be similar to Thursday, just much less windy. Expect a lot of sunshine and temperatures in the low and mid 70s.

Saturday and Sunday should remain dry and sunny across the Finger Lakes. There is a very small chance that the remnants of a thunderstorm complex from the northern Great Lakes could drift through at some point, but I find that unlikely at this point in time.

Saturday should see temperatures push back towards the 80 degrees. Sunday could turn out rather hot. Temperatures should at least reach the mid 80s, but some 90 degree readings will be possible.

Monday looks even hotter, with upper 80s likely and low to mid 90s a possibility.

Summer Plans for FLX Weather

In April, I held a fund-drive in an effort to propel Finger Lakes Weather forward. I am pleased to report that, starting in July, I will be able to focus on Finger Lakes Weather more substantially.

At first, much of the work will be done behind the scenes, but through the summer, new features should start popping up. These include revamped and improved alerts and zip-code forecast pages, more maps and graphics, and weather forecast videos.

While my fund-drive in April was successful, I could still use some additional funding to make Finger Lakes Weather sustainable for the longer term.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:

Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). When not forecasting, he can be found working at the local library, making goat milk soap, running until his legs burn, or playing with his three young boys.