No Rain Until Thursday
A large area of high pressure is pushing into the Finger Lakes from the west and will linger over the next several days.
This will result in sunshine and a complete lack of precipitation across the region as temperatures once again climb.
Today will have a mix of sun and clouds while Tuesday should have fewer if any clouds. Thin clouds high in the atmosphere will work in on Wednesday but with plenty of sunshine filtering through them.
The sky may take on a milky appearance at times over the next couple of days thanks to smoke high in the atmosphere from wildfires in Canada. If smoke is moving through at sunrise or sunset, look for vibrant colors as a result.
High temperatures will push into the upper 70s and toward 80 degrees today. Tuesday should add a few degrees with widespread low 80s and a few mid 80s. Wednesday will be even hotter, with mid and upper 80s and a few low 90s.
Unlike last week, the heat this week will not be accompanied by high humidity. Dewpoints each of the next several days will be in the 50s during the afternoon hours. Dewpoints that low are generally not noticeable.
Last week, dewpoints were around 70 degrees, which is very muggy.
A less obvious impact of the lower humidity will be cooler nights. Morning lows Tuesday will drop back into the 50s while Wednesday starts in the upper 50s and low 60s.
Late Week and Weekend Rain Chances
The humidity will rise on Thursday as south winds ahead of a front set up over the region. With highs again well into the 80s, it will feel more like last week.
The models have been very consistent showing showers and thunderstorms late Thursday afternoon and into the evening. Much of the day will therefore probably be dry.
It is a bit early to speculate too much on the severe thunderstorm chances for Thursday, but the wind fields do look favorable for a couple stronger storms. Other factors, however, look less favorable. This will be something to watch over the next few days.
Any storms will likely be capable of some heavy rain, but should be quick moving, which should keep the flood threat to a minimum.
A few showers may linger into Friday, especially during the morning. Some additional showers or storms may be possible over the weekend, but any system that would trigger the rain looks to be small. Models are unreliable with those type of systems at this far range, so I would not pin too much on any detailed weekend forecasts at this point.
The overall trend of the last couple weeks looks to continue for the foreseeable future in the Finger Lakes. Temperatures should remain near or above normal and rain may continue to be less common.
Did You Know?
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