Front brings an increase in clouds and a couple showers

finger lakes weather forecast thursday october 24 2019 sun clouds rain showers front weekend weather
A front will move into the area today, but with a lack of moisture, rain will be hard to come by. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Slow Moving Front

A moisture starved, slow moving cold front is poised to the west of the Finger Lakes this morning, running through Ontario, through Detroit, and southwest into the Mid-Mississippi Valley.

Out ahead of the front, skies are still clear across the Finger Lakes, but a gentle south wind has kept temperatures from falling too far this morning. Parts of the Southern Tier have cooled into the 30s, but much of the northern half of the region is starting closer to or even above 50 degrees.

As the front presses east, clouds will gradually work into the Finger Lakes later this morning and into the afternoon. There will still be breaks of sun between the clouds.

A couple showers may try to develop this afternoon. These will be most likely along and north of I-90. Most areas will probably not see rain today.

With the south winds ahead of the front and at least partial sunshine, temperatures should top out near or just above 60 degrees this afternoon. Overnight temperatures will drop into the low and mid 40s with periods of clouds continuing.

The front will only slowly push southeast and may stall out over the area for a time. Clouds will increase overnight and into Friday and the sun will be hard to come by.

Rain showers will be more likely on Friday, especially in the afternoon and in more southern areas. Some areas will probably not see rain on Friday either.

Winds will be light and variable with the front overhead. With thick clouds and our supply of warm air cut off, high temperatures Friday will be much cooler than today. Most areas should reach 50 degrees, but getting more than a degree or two above that will be a tall order to ask.

Weekend Weather

Clouds should depart Friday night, though areas of fog will develop in the usual areas. Morning lows Saturday should reach the 30s for much of the region. Patchy frost will be possible for those that have preserved their plants thus far.

Early in the morning, thin clouds high in the atmosphere will begin to stream north into the area. Our window for clear, sunny skies is very small, and much of the day will be spent beneath a thin overcast.

Those clouds will thicken further during the evening in advance of our next windy, rainy weather system. Saturday will remain dry though with any rain holding off until well after midnight.

Temperatures Saturday will remain held in check by the limited sunshine and light winds. Look for highs in the mid 50s.

South winds will increase Saturday evening and through the night. Like the last several systems, the strongest gusts will be over higher elevations, but it will become rather windy for all. The peak of the wind will come after sunrise Sunday morning with widespread 35-45 mph gusts and higher elevations approaching 50 mph.

A large area of rain will move in after midnight Saturday night and persist through Sunday morning. Showers will likely linger into the afternoon before tapering off. Rainfall amounts should exceed a half-inch for most of the area. Locally as much as an inch and a half could fall.

Temperatures will get a boost from the strong south winds on Sunday, reaching the at least the low 60s during the afternoon. Cooler air will be in no hurry to move in, with temperatures Sunday night sticking near 50 degrees.

The first half of next week looks quiet and mild. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be in the upper 50s before we push well into the 60s and possibly even towards 70 degrees Wednesday and Thursday.

A strong storm system will move in around Halloween time with a significant shift to cooler weather for the start of November.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.