Mild and showery start to March

finger lakes weather forecast monday march 2 2020
Warm temperatures will surge into the Finger Lakes today, then slowly retreat over the course of the week. A few batches of rain showers are also likely. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

In Like a Lamb

March got off to a sunny start yesterday. Today, mild air will push in.

The surge of warmer air is thanks to an area of low pressure north of the Great Lakes. This low pushed a warm front through the region overnight. South and southwest winds behind the front will continue to pump warmer air north.

High temperatures today should reach the 50s across most of the Finger Lakes. For the Southern Tier between Bath and Binghamton, areas between Canandaigua and Owasco Lakes, and along I-90 between Syracuse and Rochester, highs will top out in the mid 50s.

The wind will be a bit blustery with the occasional gust over 30 mph, especially this morning.

A few scattered rain showers dot the region this morning as well. These should lift north for the midday hours before a new batch of rain slides in from the west later this afternoon. That rain will taper to a few lingering showers for the evening.

None of the precipitation should be heavy, and rain amounts will remain minimal.

Temperatures will slide back into the 30s overnight before rising back to near 50 degrees Tuesday afternoon.

Tuesday will be a cloudy day with another batch of afternoon rain showers. Tuesday’s rain will be more widespread and may come down moderately at times. Rain amounts should stay under a half-inch though.

A couple rain or snow showers will be possible on Wednesday with highs around 40 degrees. Wednesday’s precipitation should remain spotty and light.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday march 2 2020
Click to enlarge.

Late Week and Weekend

Temperatures will get a small bounce back on Thursday as sunshine returns. Highs should range through the 40s with light winds.

The weather gets a bit more interesting for Friday into early Saturday. Low pressure will pass to our south as a second piece of energy slides in from the northwest.

The most likely scenario will be two weaker systems that interact, but do not phase together. This would bring light precipitation to our area, possible with an inch or so of snow.

There is still a small chance that the systems phase together and bring heavier snow to the area. This seems unlikely, but will be something to watch for in the coming days. If we did get heavier snow, it would probably come Friday night.

Temperatures will bottom out behind this system on Saturday with high temperatures around 30 degrees.

Beyond that, it looks like another warm up will be possible with 40s returning Sunday and sticking around thereafter.

The medium and long range forecasts continue to indicate warmer than normal temperatures for most of March, though it only takes a day or two of just-cold-enough temperatures to whip up a classic March snow storm.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have three young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.