Windy and warm until mid-afternoon cold front

finger lakes weather forecast thursday october 15 2020 windy warm cold front temperature drop
A strong cold front will cause temperatures to crash this afternoon and bring some showers tonight. [Photo by Carole Norton Leach]

Temperatures Crash Late

Gusty south winds developed overnight and have pushed temperatures up prior to sunrise.

Many areas are starting the day in the low 60s and temperatures should take off once the sun rises.

There are a few early morning clouds over the southeastern Finger Lakes, but most of the region is clear. Sunny skies will persist through the morning and into the afternoon until a cold front arrives from the west.

Winds will also increase a bit more this morning, with gusts of 30-40 mph becoming commonplace. Higher elevations will generally see higher gusts compared to lower elevations.

Highs should easily reach the low and mid 70s during the early to mid afternoon hours.

Between 2-6 PM, a strong cold front will cross the region. As the front arrives, clouds will increase and winds will turn to the northwest. There could be a shower here or there along the front, but most of the precipitation will lag well behind.

Within one to two hours of the frontal passage, temperatures will drop about 15 degrees into the mid and upper 50s. By dinnertime, it will be colder in most areas than it is now, at sunrise.

Wind speeds will diminish behind the front, though a brief gust of wind may accompany the front itself. Showers will increase this evening and continue through the night.

The chances for showers will slowly decrease on Friday. The further east, the longer the showers will last. Areas east of Cayuga Lake may hang onto some drizzly showers late into the afternoon. On the flip side, the western half of the Finger Lakes may see some sun before the day is done.

Winds Friday will be from the northwest at light speeds. Still, cold air will move in on those winds, and the clouds and showers will help hold temperatures down. After starting in the mid 40s, most areas will end up in the upper 40s and low 50s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday october 15 2020
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Weekend Weather and Beyond

Clearing skies will overtake the Finger Lakes Friday night, leading to a cold start to Saturday. Widespread 30s are likely, though areas near the lake may stay near or just above 40. Frost is likely, but many parts of our region have had their growing season declared over, so no Frost Advisories will be issued in those areas.

Saturday itself will be cool, but sunny. West winds will be a touch blustery, but not as gusty as today.

The sunshine should help temperatures push into the low and mid 50s throughout the Finger Lakes.

Winds will turn southerly Saturday night and thin clouds will move in. Temperatures will drop into the upper 30s and low 40s during the evening but rise several degrees after midnight. Areas along and north of I-90 could be back to 50 degrees by dawn Sunday.

Sunday will be similarly windy to today, with gusts from the south and southwest at 30-40 mph. Skies will remain mixed and highs will range from the upper 50s to the low 60s.

Several weak weather systems will pass through the Great Lakes and Northeast next week. These could bring scattered showers, especially from later Monday through Tuesday. Significant rainfall is not expected.

Temperatures will depend on whether it rains but should be mild. A cloudy, showery day would have highs around 60, but sunshine could propel temperatures back towards 70. A downward trend in temperatures seems likely after next weekend.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.