Stormy Skies Ahead
Bundles of atmospheric energy will travel along a stalled front as moisture ahead of Tropical Storm Elsa pushes northward.
One such area of disturbed weather is passing through the Finger Lakes early this morning. A few showers and a solitary thunderstorm accompany this feature. By 9 AM, most of the rain should push east out of the Finger Lakes.
Behind this, skies will be sunny with some clouds mixing in. Temperatures will rise, reaching the low and mid 80s by the afternoon. High levels of humidity will also be present once again.
A few stray showers and storms will pop up in this environment, especially across the southern half of the region. However, without the support of another packet of atmospheric energy, storm initiation will be difficult.
As a result, daytime showers and storms will remain isolated to scattered, with many areas staying dry into the late afternoon. Any storms that do pop up will have a chance for frequent lightning and some gusty winds.
The chances for rain will increase this evening as the next energy approaches from the west. These showers and storms will develop this evening and lift northeast through the area. After an initial wave of rain and storms, a lull during the overnight will give way to even more widespread activity Thursday morning.
Be on the lookout for pockets of dense fog tonight into early Thursday, especially directly following any heavier downpours.
These showers and storms will continue into the afternoon. The available moisture in the atmosphere will increase as Elsa works its way northward. This could lead to intense downpours. If a single location gets several of these downpours in a row, impressive rain amounts and localized flash flooding will be possible.
Showers and storms will continue to be possible into Thursday night. How much rain is present in the area on Friday remains uncertain as Elsa races northeast along the East Coast. While direct impacts from Elsa are not expected here, how the moisture and energy interact with our already unsettled pattern on Friday remains highly uncertain.
Temperatures will decline with the extra clouds and rain. Highs Thursday and Friday should stick to the mid 70s.
Weekend Weather and Beyond
Elsa will rapidly exit the region to the northeast Friday night into Saturday, taking all the humidity and unsettled weather with it.
High pressure will build in behind Elsa, bringing some pleasant weather for at least Saturday. Skies should be a mix of sun and fair-weather clouds and no precipitation is expected.
Temperatures will top out in the mid 70s and dewpoints will be comfortable in the 50s.
Skies will become mostly clear Saturday night with temperatures in the upper 50s.
Sunday will be similar, though some disturbed weather to the south may spread some extra clouds and a few late showers into the area. Highs will be a touch warmer, reaching the upper 70s.
The chances for rain will creep upward on Monday, though most areas still look dry from this early vantage point. Temperatures and humidity will increase as well, with highs in the mid 80s and dewpoints rising through the 60s.
Tuesday will be warmer, and stormier, as a front approaches. Highs will be in the upper 80s to near 90. Afternoon thunderstorms are possible.
Beyond Tuesday, the weather is uncertain with at least some chances for rain and highs at least around 80, if not warmer.
More Information:
» Finger Lakes Weather Radar
» Zip Code Forecasts
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Stay Updated With Email Alerts
Mary Ann Lutz
Yes, We turned around and came home another way. We did not continue on to Rochester.
Mary Ann Lutz
We were driving to Rochester this morning and in Geneva (8am ish) we were in the worst rainstorm that I have ever been in. Route 5 and 20 was flooded. We were in a Volvo and the rain was as deep as the running boards.
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Please do not drive through floodwaters! It is extremely dangerous. I am glad you are safe, though!