Smokey sunshine increases today with more showers Thursday

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday july 28 2021 sun clouds smoke thursday showers
Sunshine, mixed with wildfire smoke, will increase today before showers return for Thursday. [Photo by Joan Lockwood]

Changing Weather

Skies will gradually brighten today but more rain will be on the way for Thursday.

Some parts of the Finger Lakes are already seeing sunshine this morning, but most of the region is locked into overcast skies thanks to low-level moisture left over behind the cold front that moved through yesterday.

As the morning goes on, these clouds should erode away, leaving sunshine for the afternoon. As has often been the case lately, it will be a smokey sunshine with another plume of smoke from Canada settling in.

The smoke models indicate that the levels of near-surface smoke will be higher than the last couple of days, which could produce some lower visibility and air-quality concerns. That will be something to watch for as we head into this afternoon.

Otherwise, it will be a quiet day with light northerly winds helping hold temperatures to the mid 70s. Skies will start clear tonight before clouds increase after midnight. Nighttime temperatures will bottom out around 60 degrees.

By Thursday morning, scattered showers will push into the region. There will be chances for rain at any time tomorrow, though it will not rain all day. The morning clouds and showers should prevent any robust thunderstorms from developing in the afternoon, but a few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out.

Temperatures will get a small boost from south winds that will increase to around 10 mph by the midday hours. Highs should reach the upper 70s.

Cloudy skies and scattered showers will persist through Thursday night and into the first half of Friday.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday july 28 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Mainly Dry Pattern

Like today, Friday will transition from a cloudy morning to a sunnier afternoon. North winds will also help hold temperatures down, with highs not reaching 70 degrees for most of the area.

Saturday will feature more sunshine, though fair-weather clouds will also mix in. No rain is expected. Temperatures will remain on the cool side but should get above 70 degrees.

Another system will roll through on Sunday with showers and thunderstorms. Conditions at this point do not seem overly favorable for severe thunderstorms.

This may be the last rain we see for a while as high pressure builds in and sticks around for most of next week. A dry week is not a completely certain fact yet though, and a small disturbance here or there could bring some scattered showers.

Temperatures will start next week on the cooler side. Monday will see highs in the low and mid 70s. Tuesday will be a couple degrees warmer, with most areas in the mid 70s.

Each day thereafter should add a couple more degrees, with mid and upper 70s Wednesday, upper 70s Thursday, and highs getting close to 80 degrees by Friday. Highs at or above 80 degrees will be more likely next weekend and heading into the middle of August.

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday july 28 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

  1. James Hamilton

    A beautifully clear and Finger Lakes locally-tuned forecast, as usual, Drew. But you should be advised that “Smokey” is the name for a bear who wants you not to cause forest fires, and for cops on highway patrol out to arrest speeders, and for the famous Smokey Robinson of Motown R&B soul pop music fame. The correct spelling of the adjective “smoky” has no “e” in it, despite the silent “e” in “smoke.” I’m sure as global warming continues we’ll have many more smoky days in your forecasts. After lots of outdoor swimming and bicycling exercise, I had asthma a couple nights ago, even tho I was coping with seasonal allergies with a good antihistamine—I’m blaming the wheeze on the smoky weather.