Temperatures warm despite persistent clouds

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday october 6 2021 cloudy fog mild
Temperatures will rise over the next couple days, with above average temperatures expected through next week. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Warming Up

A stretch of mild October weather will unfold over the next few days despite low level moisture remaining trapped beneath high pressure.

This moisture will continue to manifest itself as thick clouds, fog, and drizzle. Conditions this morning are similar to yesterday.

A limited amount of the moisture will burn off by the midday and afternoon hours. Fog and drizzle should dissipate, but the clouds will be tougher to remove. The best chance for a little sunshine will come right at the end of the day when some breaks in the clouds may develop.

The erosion of some of the low level moisture will allow temperatures to nose their way back into the low 70s despite little to no wind at the surface.

Clouds and some fog will persist tonight, though the late day breaks in the cloud cover will extend into the early evening. Overnight temperatures will reach the upper 50s to near 60 degrees.

Fog will be most likely Thursday morning in the favored river valleys of the Southern Tier. Further north, the day may start with a little sunshine.

Clouds will quickly fill in during the morning and remain thick until the late afternoon. Breaks in the cloud cover should start to appear a couple hours early tomorrow than today. Skies may even become mostly clear Thursday evening before fog and low clouds redevelop after midnight.

Temperatures will add a few more degrees on Thursday with highs mostly in the mid 70s. Winds will again be nearly calm.

Sunshine will mix in better on Friday, but it will still be fairly cloudy. Southeast winds will develop, but wind speeds will remain under 5 mph until the evening. Highs in the mid 70s are likely once again.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday october 6 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Weekend Weather and Beyond

As we head into the weekend, an area of disturbed weather will lift north into the Great Lakes region. Much of the precipitation with this will stay to our west before the parent system dissipates.

Still, a few showers will be possible this weekend. On Saturday, the best chance for rain will come during the latter half of the afternoon hours and mostly for areas west of Seneca Lake. This rain will be scattered and generally light.

Showers will make their way across the region Saturday night with a few more showers lingering into Sunday morning. At this time, Sunday afternoon looks mostly dry, but a lingering shower cannot be totally ruled out.

Clouds will again be plentiful with this area of disturbed weather. It will probably not be quite as cloudy as yesterday and today, so some breaks of sunshine here and there should be expected.

Temperatures on Saturday are a bit uncertain and will depend partially on those scattered showers and any breaks of sunshine. Most areas will be in the upper 60s, but a few low 70s are possible.

Sunday will have highs back around 70 degrees for most of the region as the afternoon dries out and breaks of sunshine become more likely.

Skies will finally turn sunny early next week. Monday will have sunshine with some thin clouds, while Tuesday looks mostly sunny.

Temperatures will respond to the sunshine by rising back into the mid and possibly even upper 70s. Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday in particular have a shot at reaching the upper 70s. At this time, it looks as though sunshine and mostly dry conditions will persist.

Cooler air looks increasingly likely beyond next weekend, so enjoy the warmer weather while it lasts.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday october 6 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

2 Responses

  1. Stuart Davis
    |

    Drew-
    Is your donation mechanism working? I’ve tried to donate a small monthly amount and I get “Unable to generate Payment Method ID.” Should you look into this?

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      |

      Thank you for letting me know. I will look into it!