Unsettled, cloudy week ahead

finger lakes weather forecast monday april 4 2022 cloudy cool dreary wet unsettled
Tuesday will have the best chances for some sunshine, while Thursday and Friday will be the wettest days of the week. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Dreary Springtime

The first full week of April will feature plenty of cloud cover and chances for precipitation, especially during the second half of the week.

A small area of high pressure will move through the area today. However, trapped beneath the high is plenty of low atmosphere moisture left over from the weather system that moved through yesterday.

Thick clouds are in place across most of the region this morning as a result, though there are a few breaks in the overcast. These clouds will likely hang tough into the afternoon hours before they start to gradually break up.

As they do so, new clouds will move in from the west, limiting the amount of possible sunshine. Some of these new clouds may be thin enough at first to allow some sunshine to filter through.

Light northwest winds will be in place today, which, combined with the clouds, will keep temperatures in check. Highs will be in the mid 40s throughout the area, which is now a bit below the climatological average high.

Clouds will persist through the night with a spit of drizzle or a few flakes of snow not out of the question. This will be most likely this evening. Temperatures will dip into the low and mid 30s. Towards dawn, some breaks in the clouds will again appear.

Tuesday will have some of the best chances for sunshine, though there will still be plenty of clouds to contend with as well. It should remain dry at least, and with a southerly breeze, temperatures will warm into the upper 50s.

Tuesday night holds some uncertainty as a low pressure system passes to the south. Some rain from this system could spread north into the Finger Lakes. More likely, however, is that the rain stays to the south. If it does rain, showers would come to an end early Wednesday morning.

Wednesday will have some limited sunshine, but probably more clouds than Tuesday. Southeast winds will increase to near 10 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

Those winds will help offset the clouds with high temperatures averaging around 60 degrees.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday april 4 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Wet Late Week

Some of the clouds on Wednesday will be out ahead of a band of rain associated with low pressure over the Midwest. This rain will move in by Thursday with a secondary low developing to our south.

As the second low tracks northward, the eastward progress of the rain will be slowed or even halted altogether. Rain will continue to fall across the area with some heavy rain possible over the eastern half of the region.

Rain will continue Thursday evening before gradually tapering off. Exact rain totals this far out are uncertain, but over an inch could be possible, especially east of Cayuga Lake.

With the clouds and rain, temperatures on Thursday will be held to the mid 40s.

Friday will be a little warmer without the steady rain, though there will be plenty of on and off scattered showers. Look for highs in the low 50s.

By the weekend, the original low will have tracked from the Midwest into southeastern Canada. This will bring plenty more shower activity for Saturday, holding highs in the upper 40s.

Sunday morning, too, may have some showers, but precipitation should taper off and end at some point during the day. Temperatures will remain in the upper 40s.

The following week looks much different with a significant, prolonged warm-up likely. Highs most days will at least be in the 60s if not 70s. Conditions will generally be dry and sunny. By the end of the week, the sound of lawnmowers will probably be gracing our neighborhoods.

This does not look like a switch-flip to prolonged late-Spring type weather, with temperatures returning closer to average around Easter.

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday april 4 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

2 Responses

  1. James Hamilton

    This is a beautifully expressed forecast, Drew! Clouds hanging tough, lawnmower sounds gracing our neighborhoods—such lyrical prose, weatherman. Your no-hype predictions make the future more than interesting; they’re poetic. Thanks for doing what you do so well.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil

      Thanks for the compliments, James!