Sunny and dry weather expected into early next week

finger lakes weather forecast thursday july 7 2022 sun clouds dry near average temperatures
Temperatures will be near or a touch below average through the weekend before warming slightly next week. [Photo by Helen Heizyk]

Near Average Temperatures

High pressure over the region will keep the weather dry and temperatures close to average today.

This high has pushed a stalled frontal boundary far to the south, where it stretches across the Mid-Mississippi Valley and into the Mid-Atlantic. This boundary will have no impact on our weather as a result.

Some areas of fog and low clouds are in place this morning across the Finger Lakes, while other areas are starting with clear skies. The early clouds and fog will burn off quickly this morning, but fair weather clouds will also start to bubble up before too long.

These fair weather clouds will become numerous and may fill the skies at times this afternoon. However, no rain is expected from any of the clouds.

With the high overhead, winds will be light and variable today with speeds under 5 mph. Temperatures will be close to the seasonal averages, topping out in the upper 70s and low 80s.

Partly cloudy to mostly clear skies are expected tonight with lows dropping to seasonable levels in the upper 50s and low 60s.

Friday will be similar, with highs a couple degrees warmer, despite a light north wind. Most areas should break into the low 80s with a few pockets of mid 80s.

A weak and decaying weather system could touch off a brief, isolated shower tomorrow afternoon. Most areas will not see any rain, and anything that does fall will not amount to anything meaningful.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday july 7 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Weather This Weekend and Next Week

Some cooler air will briefly work into the area as a new high pressure system builds in from the northwest this weekend.

This high will bring more dry weather through the weekend. Not only will there be a lack of rain, but the amounts of moisture present in the atmosphere will be anomalously low. Even fair weather clouds will have a difficult time forming, leading to mostly sunny skies both Saturday and Sunday.

North winds will blow at up to 10 mph on Saturday, holding temperatures in check. Most of the Finger Lakes region will be in the mid 70s. A few upper 70s are possible in the Southern Tier, and closer to Lake Ontario, low 70s are more likely.

Sunday morning will start with temperatures in the low 50s, but afternoon highs will reach the upper 70s. Winds will be nearly calm.

Both days will have dewpoints in the 40s, resulting in afternoon relative humidity values of just 30-40 percent.

By Monday, southwest winds will take over. Temperatures will rise to the mid 80s and dewpoints into the 50s. No rain is expected, but fair weather clouds will return, leading to mixed skies.

Finally, toward the middle of next week, the weather pattern begins to at least tease at the chances for some rain.

Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday will all have a chance for some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon hours. It is too soon to tell how widespread or heavy these will be, but the early indications are not overly promising.

Some areas will probably see some beneficial rainfall out of these, but chances are decent that most areas will either simply get enough to halt the deficit from worsening for a few days or will not get enough to make a difference.

As things look now, it would not surprise me if several areas get totally missed all three days.

Temperatures will warm up a notch next week as well, with highs sticking in the 80s, and possibly exceeding 85 degrees more than once.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday july 7 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

2 Responses

  1. Laura Negronida

    I live in Trumansburg. And I have noticed, for years now, that precipitation that appears to be aiming right at us on the radar ends up dissipating before reaching us (appearing to go north and/or south of us). I recently spoke with a long-time resident of the area who said it’s always been this way. During the drought in the summer of 2016 I remember hearing that Tburg was the driest place in the whole state.
    Can you explain why this is?

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil

      Hi Laura,

      I don’t have any scientific data to back it up, but I suspect there are geographic influences at work here. Hopefully, someday I will be able to study this phenomenon, which is not just limited to T-burg, but is reported in pockets throughout the region.