Remaining mild but with clouds today and rain tomorrow

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday march 22 2023 cloudy mild rain thursday
Temperatures will remain in the 50s through Thursday, but will then retreat closer to average in the lower half of the 40s through the weekend. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Mild Temperatures

High pressure off the Mid-Atlantic coast and low pressure over the Midwest will continue to keep mild air in place across the Finger Lakes.

Clouds moved into the region overnight and will be commonplace throughout the day today. No precipitation is expected from the clouds, at least during the daytime hours.

Mainly light south and southwest winds will blow today with speeds under 10 mph. There is a small window of a couple of hours during the mid to late afternoon where winds will increase briefly. During this time, wind gusts over 25 mph will be possible.

The southerly flow will keep mild air in place despite the cloud cover. Highs will mainly be in the mid 50s, with both some cooler and warmer pockets.

Temperatures will be slower to drop tonight and should remain in the mid 40s throughout the night. A few spotty rain showers will be possible this evening and into the overnight hours.

In the hours leading up to dawn, rain showers will become more widespread and could transition into some periods of steadier rain. This will continue into the early morning but should push east quickly.

A lull in the precipitation is likely during the mid and late morning hours, possibly extending into the early afternoon. Temperatures will peak during this time, with highs again mostly in the mid 50s, but with some variation throughout the region.

Widespread rain will move back in no later than the mid-afternoon, with showers lingering into the early evening. A rumble of thunder cannot be totally ruled out. Rain amounts will vary, but most areas should end up between a quarter and a half an inch.

Winds on Thursday will be a touch breezy, with wind speeds from the south and southwest over 10 mph at times. A few gusts to 30 mph will be possible, especially across the Southern Tier. Winds will turn to the northwest during the late afternoon with speeds up to 10 mph.

finger lakes weather medium range snow outlook wednesday march 22 2023 see blog text for pertinent information
Localized minor snow accumulations, mainly over higher elevations, will be possible Saturday. Next Tuesday has some higher chances for snow but remains very elevation-dependent and thus is uncertain this far out. Click to enlarge.

Near Average Temperatures

Northwest winds will continue into Friday, bringing in cooler air and possibly touching off a few early lake flurries. Most areas will not see any snow, and those that do will not see any accumulation.

Morning temperatures will be in the mid and upper 20s, while afternoon highs will be close to the seasonal averages in the low 40s. Skies will remain cloudy thanks to the northwesterly flow over the Great Lakes.

Another weather system will approach the region for the weekend. Precipitation should move in from the south just before dawn on Saturday. Temperatures will be right around the freezing mark, so a brief period of snow, or some icy mix, will be possible.

Rain will take over through the morning hours, though some of the higher elevations between Syracuse and Cortland may see wintry precipitation into the midday hours.

Most areas will probably see little to no snow or ice accumulation. Higher elevations east of Cayuga Lake have the best chance for some accumulation, particularly in Cortland and Onondaga counties.

Precipitation will become less common in the afternoon, though stray showers will remain possible. Strong southeast winds will develop, peaking during the afternoon with speeds up to 20 mph and gusts locally over 45 mph.

Temperatures on Saturday will be warmest in the west and in particular around Rochester, where mid and upper 40s will be possible. Much of the Finger Lakes region will get into the low 40s, while upper 30s will be possible in the I-81 region south of Syracuse.

A few more rain and snow showers will be possible Saturday night before the low pressure system begins to pull away. Sunday should be mostly dry, therefore, albeit still rather cloudy.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wed mar 22 | wed, mostly cloudy mid 50 | thur, periods of rain mid 50 | fri, mostly cloudy low 40 | sat, rain some early mix low 40 | sun, windy partly cloudy mid 40 | mon, mostly cloudy mid 40 | tues, rain and snow upper 30
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Strong winds will continue, coming in from the west during Sunday morning and the northwest during Sunday afternoon. Morning winds will be slightly stronger than the afternoon winds, with speeds near or over 20 mph and gusts locally over 50 mph. This will be most likely for areas west of Keuka Lake.

Temperatures on Sunday will be a touch warmer with mid 40s common. Monday will have similar temperatures, but with lighter winds. No precipitation is expected during the daytime hours, but it will be cloudy.

Another system will move in Monday night and Tuesday with a mix of rain and snow. This system is a bit cooler than the weekend system, so there are higher chances for snow accumulation. Elevation will be a large factor, and at current, lower elevations may not see any accumulation.

A couple of cool days are likely behind this system, but warmer weather will build in late next week and into the weekend. More unsettled, most likely wet, weather is likely as we close out March and head into April.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wed mar 22 | wed, mostly cloudy mid 50 | thur, periods of rain mid 50 | fri, mostly cloudy low 40 | sat, rain some early mix low 40 | sun, windy partly cloudy mid 40 | mon, mostly cloudy mid 40 | tues, rain and snow upper 30
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.