Generally quiet weather is expected this weekend ahead of a cold front as temperatures remain far above seasonal averages.
Friday will be very similar to Thursday, with plenty of sunshine and warm, if not hot, temperatures.
Unlike the perfectly clear skies yesterday, there will be a gradual increase in the number of thin clouds drifting through the area today. By the late afternoon, there may even be a broader layer of thin clouds to filter some of the sunshine.
Winds will again be nearly calm as temperatures climb into the low and mid 80s. Areas along the shore of Lake Ontario will be cooler as a lake breeze sets up, bringing cooler, lake-modified air inland.
Relative humidity values of 25-35 percent will be common this afternoon. The NYS DEC has rated the fire danger as high once again, which is the third of five levels on their fire risk map.
Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy tonight with temperatures generally sticking to the 50s once again. Partly, to at times mostly, cloudy skies will persist for Saturday. Late in the day, a few stray showers may pop up, mainly across the southern half of the region. These should be very few and far between.
Light south winds will blow on Saturday, yet temperatures will probably end up a couple of degrees lower than Friday. Still, many areas should be around 80 degrees.
Sunday will be a bit cooler yet, with highs in the low and mid 70s. This is still around twenty degrees above average. Much of the daytime looks rather quiet and dry, though again, a few stray showers may pop up late in the afternoon.
A cold front will move in late Sunday night with rain persisting into Monday morning. As the steady rain moves through, temperatures will start Monday in the low 50s, but may fall back into the 40s for a time later in the morning.
Monday afternoon should have scattered showers with temperatures bouncing back to the low and mid 50s. Temperatures will fall into the mid 30s Monday night. A few showers will be possible, possibly mixing with a few flurries.
Scattered showers will continue to be possible on Tuesday. The core of the colder air will move through, but it will still be plenty warm enough to keep precipitation all rain during the daytime hours. Look for highs in the mid 40s.
Tuesday night will be the highest chance for temperatures to reach or dip below freezing. This will especially be the case if clouds can clear out at some point during the night.
Wednesday should have more clouds in the morning and more sun in the afternoon. Highs will be near average in the low to perhaps mid 50s.
Warmer air will make a run at the region late next week with highs possibly returning to the 60s or even 70s. There is still a high degree of uncertainty in the models, though.
Rain will be less likely during the end of the work week, but next weekend looks more unsettled. The end of the month looks to favor near to above average temperatures.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.