The low pressure system that spawned severe weather in the Finger Lakes yesterday will continue to slowly make its way northeast into Quebec today.
There are plenty of clouds lingering over our region behind the low, along with some scattered showers this morning.
The showers will continue through the morning hours, only to increase during the midday and afternoon as another lobe of energy spirals through the area. The rain will taper off late in the afternoon and early this evening before coming to an end before midnight.
Most areas should see under a quarter inch of rain since the showers will be on and off and light in nature. However, there could be a couple briefly heavier showers to push localized areas higher. A rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out, either. Severe weather is not expected, though.
Winds will turn from the southwest this morning to the west and northwest this afternoon. Wind speeds will be near or over 10 mph with occasional gusts to 30 mph. Areas west of I-390 in the far western reaches of the region could see gusts to 40 mph.
The clouds, rain, and winds will all combine to keep temperatures cool today. Most areas will not get more than a degree or two above 70 degrees, and many higher elevations will stick to the 60s.
Skies will remain partly to mostly cloudy overnight, so it will not be too chilly. By Wednesday morning, lows will reach the upper 50s and low 60s.
Sunshine will increase Wednesday morning, only to mix with fair weather clouds by midday. These clouds will grow into the afternoon, and a few may spit out some brief rain showers.
Temperatures will be about 10 degrees warmer than today, but a steady northwest wind will still blow at speeds up to 10 mph.
Clearing skies early Wednesday evening will reverse course and turn cloudy after midnight as the next system approaches.
Showers and thunderstorms are likely on Thursday. While there will be some strong winds aloft, the storms will not have much fuel to work with. An isolated strong wind gust will be possible, but at this time, more significant severe weather is not expected.
Pattern Staying Active
An every-other-day weather pattern will persist into and through the weekend, with one day of mainly dry weather followed by a day of showers and storms.
Friday will be the dry day following Thursday’s showers and storms. A stray lingering shower Friday morning will be possible, but the rest of the day should have a mix of sun and clouds.
Steady northwest winds are likely once again with speeds around or over 10 mph. Temperatures will top out in the mid 70s.
Saturday will flip back to active as the next front moves through. Scattered showers and storms will be possible, especially in the afternoon.
These storms may have more fuel to work with than Thursday’s do. If so, winds aloft are supportive of strong storms again. This will need to be watched, though it is too early to count on anything one way or another.
Sunday will follow the pattern with a pleasant mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be close to the seasonal averages in the upper 70s.
Showers and storms will again be possible on Monday. Like Saturday, this is a wait-and-see situation, but worth monitoring with early indications of some strong winds aloft once again.
Another system will be possible towards the middle of next week before rain chances start to decline. Temperatures become uncertain at this time, but should generally stick to the 70s and 80s.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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