Sleet, Rain, and Wind Tuesday
A strengthening area of low pressure will track north into the Great Lakes today from the Ohio River Valley while a cold high pressure over New England will be slow to depart.
This set up will likely lead to some wintry precipitation for a time today before warm air wins out. Gusty winds will also kick up as these two opposite pressure systems butt up against each other.
Here are the key messages to understand today’s weather and properly prepare for it.
- Precipitation is moving a bit fast and is running ahead of what is shown even on the most recent models. Thus, we should see precipitation start to enter the southwestern portions of the region during the mid to late morning. By the early afternoon, all areas should be seeing precipitation.
- Precipitation type will vary by location, sometimes even over very short distances. The overall trend will be for precipitation to go from a wintry mix to rain, but some areas may start out as and stay rain the entire time.
- The best chance for wintry precipitation will be across the Southern Tier and into Central New York. These are purposefully vague descriptions, as even within these regions, there will be large variations. Sleet is the most likely wintry precipitation type, followed by snow. Only a few pockets of freezing rain, if any at all, are expected.
- Accumulations of snow and sleet will be minimal and mostly contained to grassy surfaces above 1200 feet. Even here, only a coating of snow or sleet is expected.
- While a few slick spots will be possible on higher elevation roadways, the majority of the roadways in our region should remain just wet.
- Precipitation will be heavy at times, and wind driven. These factors are more likely to disrupt travel than wintry road conditions.
- Wind gusts will peak during the afternoon and early evening with gusts of 35-45 mph. Again, higher elevations will see the highest gusts. These winds will be from the southeast.
- Rain will taper off this evening as dry air punches into the precipitation and cuts it off. Scattered showers are likely to continue overnight as temperatures rise into the 40s.
- There are no advisories or warnings from the National Weather Service, except for a Wind Advisory in Wyoming County, a further indication that this will be an overall minor event.
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Thanksgiving Travel Weather
By Wednesday morning, temperatures will be rising into the mid 40s as scattered rain showers continue. The rain will not be widespread or long lasting, but a few showers may linger even into the afternoon hours.
A few breaks of sunshine may also penetrate the overcast. Any sun will only help temperatures warm more, and highs should be in the upper 40s and low 50s.
Outside of our immediate region, it will also be mild with a few showers, posing no travel concerns in any direction.
High pressure will slide in for Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday. Thursday will be the warmer day with highs in the mid 40s. Friday will see highs about ten degrees cooler in the mid 30s. Thursday may also be a bit sunnier than Friday, but both days should have a mix of sun and clouds.
Those heading out early Friday morning will be greeted by near average temperatures in the upper 20 to near 30 degrees.
The weekend should remain quiet, though clouds will be more plentiful on Saturday and Sunday. Precipitation this weekend will be limited to perhaps some rain or snow showers later Sunday night.
Saturday will remain cool with highs in the mid 30s. Sunday may be a bit warmer with highs around 40 degrees.
Light rain and snow showers are possible on Monday. Another weather system may move through during the middle of next week. Limited lake effect will also be possible behind each of these systems.
Temperatures next week will mostly remain in the 30s with perhaps a couple of brief rises into the low 40s.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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