Windy Monday as sun takes over from snow

finger lakes weather forecast monday march 11 2024 windy sunny warming temperatures
Strong winds will peak this morning as any lingering snow gives way to sunshine. Temperatures will quickly warm through the middle of the week. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Warming Temperatures

Snow is quickly pulling away to the east early Monday morning.

In its place, skies are clearing across parts of the Finger Lakes. This clearing trend will continue through the morning, and the afternoon will turn out mostly sunny.

Wind speeds, however, will only increase further this morning. Still from the northwest, speeds will be around 20 mph with a few gusts eclipsing 50 mph, particularly for areas east of Cayuga Lake.

After peaking this morning, the wind will very gradually slacken during the afternoon, with gusts dropping below 40 mph from west to east.

Most areas will see temperatures rise above 40 degrees this afternoon. Higher elevations that are particularly snow covered this morning will likely stick to the upper 30s.

Skies will be clear tonight with gentler southwest and west winds. The wind will keep temperatures in the low and mid 30s overnight.

Tuesday will continue to be mostly clear, though a few thin clouds will occasionally mix with the sunshine. Winds will be back to the northwest, but they will source from the Ohio Valley as a southerly flow sets up across the Great Lakes.

Temperatures will take a big jump with highs mostly in the mid 50s. Higher elevations of Central New York and the Lake Ontario shore will be in the low 50s. Meanwhile, urban valley locations like Dansville and Elmira may make a run at 60 degrees.

Highs in the 60s will be widespread on Wednesday with even higher elevations likely reaching the 60 degree mark. Skies will be a mix of sun and clouds with a few stray, brief showers passing through. This will most likely be the warmest day of the week.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast mon mar 11 | mon, windy early snow sunny low 40 | tues, mostly sunny mid 50 | wed, a few scattered showers mid 60 | thur, sun and clouds near 60 | fri, rain showers possible low 50 | sat, a few early showers near 50 | sun, a few showers upper 40
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Late Week Uncertainties

A west to east frontal boundary is expected to develop over the region later in the week. The position of the front, as well as the presence of small areas of low pressure riding along the front, will ultimately determine how the late week weather unfolds.

Thursday has a good chance of staying dry with the front just starting to take shape. Sun and clouds are expected with a high around 60 degrees.

Friday is less certain, and there could be at least a few rain showers around at times. There is a chance for steadier rain during part or all of the day.

Temperatures will ultimately be determined by cloud cover and precipitation on Friday, but highs in the 50s look most likely at this time.

If rain holds off until later Friday, it may linger into early Saturday. Overall, though, the chances for rain look less on Saturday than on Friday. Temperatures will likely be a couple degrees cooler on Saturday, but some sun may also be possible.

By Sunday, this frontal complex should be out of the area. A new, quick moving system may spread a few rain showers in with highs mainly in the 40s.

Temperatures will continue to decrease and much of next week may have highs in the 30s. That could open up a window for a little snow, but there are no specific snow threats showing the models at this time.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast mon mar 11 | mon, windy early snow sunny low 40 | tues, mostly sunny mid 50 | wed, a few scattered showers mid 60 | thur, sun and clouds near 60 | fri, rain showers possible low 50 | sat, a few early showers near 50 | sun, a few showers upper 40
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.