Sun comes out Monday, but snow returns Tuesday & Wednesday

finger lakes weather forecast monday february 5 2018 snow
Skies will be sunny for most of Monday, but light snow will move in overnight with a more moderate snow event Wednesday. [Photo by Nanci McCraine]

Week Starts Sunny, Turns Snowy

Most of Monday will be sunny as what will be an active week starts off on a quiet note.

High pressure over the Mississippi Valley will press east today.

Gusty winds between this high and a departing low pressure over New England will continue this morning before gradually tapering off this afternoon.

A couple of lake effect flurries will be possible early in the day Monday, but already skies are turning sunny.

Temperatures are cool, with most areas in the low and mid teens to start the day.

With the sunshine, temperatures will reach the low 20s this afternoon before slipping back into the upper teens tonight.

Clouds will start to increase again towards sunset, and by midnight, light snow should be back in the region.

Snow showers will linger into early Tuesday morning before tapering off. Accumulations should be less than an inch.

The rest of Tuesday should be mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 20s.

Moderate Snow Event Wednesday

finger lakes weather forecast winter storm watch wednesday february 7 2018 snow storm
Winter Storm WATCHES were issued Monday afternoon, effective Wednesday, February 7, 2018. Click image to enlarge.

The most active weather of the week will come on Wednesday as a low pressure system passes through the Mid-Atlantic, spreading widespread snow across the Finger Lakes.

This system is already creating quite a bit of buzz, so let’s start getting into the details of what to expect.

UPDATE 3:30 PM Monday- Winter Storm Watches have now been issued for almost all of the FLX Weather area.

Snow will likely move in from the southwest shortly after sunrise Wednesday morning, quickly becoming steady while falling at a moderate to heavy pace.

Steady snow will likely persist through the remainder of the day before tapering off quickly Wednesday evening.

The heaviest snow is expected to fall between approximately 9 am and 3 pm, though this timing may need some slight adjustments.

Since this is a relatively quick shot of snow, accumulations will not get a chance to reach truly significant levels. However, with the snow falling heavily in the middle of the day, travel will certainly be highly impacted.

In all, snow amounts currently look to be in the 6 to 8 inch range.

Overall, the confidence for this system is higher than normal. There has been good consistency in the models over the last several days and the model ensembles are generally in good agreement with one another.

Tuesday morning’s blog post will have all the details, including a snow map, so be sure to check back tomorrow.

Late Week and Weekend Weather

Behind Wednesday’s system, Thursday will be a quiet and cool day, rather similar to today’s weather.

The next two systems will take aim at the region Friday into early Saturday and late Saturday into Sunday.

Right now, a light snow looks possible for Friday with a couple of inches falling.

This system could easily miss north or south of the area, so it is not something to count on as a certainty yet.

The weekend system looks bigger but is less certain in its details. There is at least a chance that temperatures will be warm enough for rain for part of the weekend.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). When not forecasting, he can be found working at the local library, making goat milk soap, running until his legs burn, or playing with his three young boys.