A limited severe thunderstorm threat exists across the Finger Lakes as storms develop during the mid-afternoon. Wind and hail are the primary concerns.
Isolated Severe Threat
There will be a minimal chance for severe thunderstorms this afternoon in the Finger Lakes before storms move east and further develop.
Before that threat materializes, a band of rain will move through the region this morning. This rain is the remains of severe thunderstorms that developed over Wisconsin and Michigan last night.
The clouds and showers this morning will put a limit on our severe threat this afternoon by keeping temperatures from rising much past 70 degrees.
As the cold front that triggered last night’s storms approaches, some new thunderstorm development is expected. There is a minimal chance that one or two could become severe, with strong winds and hail the primary threats.
These thunderstorms should start to bubble up over the Finger Lakes region between 2-5 pm. UPDATE: Thunderstorms appear to be more likely a bit earlier, with the greatest threat between 1-3 pm, but possibly extending as early as noon or as late as 4 pm.
The thunderstorms will organize more as they head east, with a low threat for severe weather over Central New York.
The threat for severe weather will end from west to east this afternoon. After 5 pm, the threat should be over for the Finger Lakes.
Outside of any thunderstorms, it will be a blustery day with wind gusts of 30-40 mph.
Cool Friday & Weekend
A shot of cold air will move into the Finger Lakes behind the cold front.
Friday will start off with temperatures around 40 degrees. Afternoon highs will top out in just the mid and upper 50s.
A couple showers or some drizzle is possible during the morning, but skies should turn sunny later in the day. High, thin clouds will also work in from the southwest ahead of the next weather maker.
A frontal boundary will stall out from west to east across Pennsylvania for the weekend.
Widespread, possibly heavy rain is still possible for Saturday morning, but the latest trends are to take this rain a bit further south. Rain amounts of one-half to one inch are still possible across the Southern Tier with lesser amounts across the northern Finger Lakes.
There is still plenty of time for this area of rain to shift north or south, so continue to monitor the forecast, especially if you have Saturday morning plans.
Saturday is likely to be cool with plenty of cloud cover and showers in the area. Highs are only expected to be in the low and mid 50s.
Sunday is still rather questionable as sunshine tries to work in from the north. Areas that see sunshine will shoot into the upper 60s, while cloudy regions see another day in the 50s.
Nice weather returns next week with highs near or slightly above normal most of the week.
Live Weather Updates for Thursday, May 10, 2018
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