Key Messages for Heavy Rain Event
Here are the latest no-hype details on the heavy rain event heading for the Finger Lakes region:
- Widespread heavy rain is falling across Ohio Valley associated with the remains of Tropical Storm Gordon and a stalled out frontal boundary.
- A strong high pressure system is keeping the rain from moving north.
- Rain showing up on radar along the northern edge of the precipitation shield is not reaching the ground.
- Clouds will remain thick through Saturday and Sunday.
- Temperatures Saturday will be in the mid 60s. Sunday’s highs will be in the low 60s north and upper 50s south.
- Rain will start to enter the Southern Tier Sunday afternoon and will move north extremely slowly.
- The remainder of the region will see rain move from south to north through Sunday night.
- Heaviest rain looks likely on Monday and may last much of the day.
- Widespread amounts of 1.5 to 3.5 inches are likely.
- Main-stem river flooding is not expected.
- Flash flooding is generally not expected, but not completely out of the question.
- Flooding will mostly be characterized by small streams running over their banks.
- See the Weather Alerts page for the latest watches and alerts.
- Check the Radar page for the latest on the rain, but know that the leading edge of the rain may not be reaching the ground.
Key Messages for Florence
- Currently a tropical storm, but starting to strengthen.
- Expected to become a major, category 3+ hurricane by Monday night.
- Landfall along the eastern US coast increasingly likely, but not yet a guarantee.
- Still too far away to accurately predict where Florence will go.
- US Landfall, if it occurs, would not happen until Thursday/Friday next week at the earliest.
- Those along the East Coast and with plans to travel there should be developing and reviewing hurricane preparation plans, but not yet acting on them this weekend.
- Impacts in the Finger Lakes, if any, would be unlikely until after next weekend. Impossible to say whether rain from Florence will move in or not.
- Continue to be wary of hype and “forecasts” that attempt to pinpoint potential landfall locations, as this remains out of the reach of plausible, scientific forecasting.
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