Breezy Thursday behind icy storm system

finger lakes weather forecast thursday february 21 2019 windy weekend weather
The Finger Lakes will be breezy once again on Thursday, but a much stronger wind event looms for Sunday and Monday. [Photo by Mike Competillo]

Windy today before Quiet Start to the Weekend

Widespread precipitation from last night’s storm system has ended across the Finger Lakes.

Warmer air has worked in behind the precipitation, with mid and upper 30s for much of the Finger Lakes. Parts of the Southern Tier, however, remain in the low 30s.

A brief shower or some drizzle will remain possible through the morning.

West winds will pick up this morning and persist through the afternoon. Gusts over 30 mph are likely, especially over higher elevations and areas west of Seneca Lake.

Temperatures will hold steady in the mid and upper 30s through the afternoon.

Some flurries off Lake Ontario will drop south into the northern and eastern Finger Lakes as winds turn to the northwest tonight.

These flurries will persist into Friday morning and possibly even the afternoon. A light coating of fluff may accumulate but no significant travel issues are expected.

Morning lows Friday will mostly be in the 20s with a few teens in the far western Southern Tier where the clouds may break up some.

Sunshine is likely Friday outside of the lake effect areas. Even those areas should see a little sun before the day is done though.

High temperatures will be in the low and mid 30s for Friday.

Saturday will be a quiet day with some sunshine filtering through a deck of thin clouds. South-southeast winds will drive temperatures in the low and maybe mid 40s.

Rain Followed by High Wind Event

A large, powerful storm system will lift northeast through the Upper Great Lakes Saturday night and Sunday.

A period of rain is likely for the Finger Lakes, starting Saturday evening and lingering into Sunday morning.

After temperatures jump into the 50s late Sunday morning, a strong cold front will move through, dropping temperatures back into the 30s with a spray of snow showers.

The biggest story will be the wind though. A prolonged period of strong to damaging winds seems likely, beginning Sunday morning and continuing until sunset Monday.

As is usually the case with these types of wind storms, the strongest winds will be between Buffalo and Rochester and along the shore of Lake Ontario. Gusts over 60 mph seem likely and 70+mph wind gusts are not out of the question.

The rest of the Finger Lakes will have a chance for gusts of 45-55 mph.

If this holds, it would be a wind event on par with the early April 2018 wind storm that brought gusts as high as 75 mph to Batavia and widespread 55-65 mph wind gusts over the western and northern Finger Lakes.

This potential will continue to be monitored over the next few days but is becoming increasingly likely.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have three young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.