Active Weather Pattern
The weather will be active across the Finger Lakes over the next several days, including plenty of wind.
Gusty south winds have developed across the Finger Lakes this morning and will persist throughout the day today. These winds are being driven by a large weather system to our west.
Top gusts today will be over higher elevations and could exceed 45 mph. Gusts of 35-45 mph are likely across the remainder of the region.
Warm air ahead of this system will push temperatures back above normal. Already, temperatures have risen slightly overnight and most areas starting today in the mid and upper 40s.
The warmest temperatures this afternoon will be along and north of I-90 where some low 70s may show up. Mid and upper 60s will be widespread across the remainder of the region.
Skies will remain rather cloudy, but some breaks of sun will be possible from time to time.
A few scattered showers will begin to pop up during the latter half of the afternoon. The chances for rain will increase during the evening as one or more bands of showers and thunderstorms move from west to east.
Precipitation amounts should generally be light with a few localized amounts around a half-inch.
Temperatures will remain in the upper 50s this evening with a brief period of 40s after midnight. Saturday will warm back into the 60s during the afternoon, though temperatures will probably be a few degrees cooler than today.
The air will be very dry on Saturday with relative humidity values under 40%. With the warm temperatures, winds continuing to gust between 30-35 mph, and partial sunshine, the brush fire risk will be raised.
Sunday is still a very uncertain day. A front will likely be near or over the Finger Lakes, with cool north winds and warm south winds colliding over the area.
A wide range of temperatures will be possible as a result. The areas most likely to stick in the 40s will be near Lake Ontario. By contrast, the southeastern Finger Lakes will have the best shot at 50s or warmer.
This set up will be the result of a strong storm system that will spread significant severe weather from eastern Texas through the Ohio Valley.
That system will spread rain, wind, and possibly thunder into the Finger Lakes Sunday night into early Monday. Wind gusts over 40 mph are likely.
Whether any thunderstorms will be able to tap into stronger winds aloft remains to be seen. Locally heavy rain is also a concern, though at this time, the heaviest rain amounts are expected to our west and north.
Rain will pull out slowly on Monday as temperatures drop throughout the day. Tuesday and Wednesday should be dry as temperatures quickly recover. Winds will remain blustery on both Monday and Tuesday.
By the second half of next week, we could be seeing the warmest air yet in 2019 with widespread 70s possible. With that warmth will come a chance for more strong winds, especially towards Friday, along with rain and thunderstorms.
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