Dry after a couple Monday showers

finger lakes weather forecast monday may 20 2019 sun clouds rain cold front
A few showers will accompany a cold front on Monday, but then dry weather should persist through Wednesday and possibly until late Thursday. [Photo by Joan Lockwood]

Cold Front Monday

A band of rain associated with the first of two fronts moved through the Finger Lakes during the predawn hours.

This first front is bringing in some less humid air, but temperatures remain mild. Most areas are starting in the low 60s this morning and should reach a high in the low 70s during the midday or early afternoon hours.

Out ahead of the second front, there are a few breaks of sunshine this morning along with a few scattered showers. The chances for scattered showers will continue into the afternoon but should lessen with time. A few more breaks of sun will also continue to be possible.

A few of the showers early this afternoon could have some briefly heavier rain. A rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out either.

Temperatures will drop back into the mid 60s for most of the afternoon as the second front passes through. The temperature will fall all the way to the low 40s by Tuesday morning. A few typically colder locations in the western Southern Tier could reach the upper 30s.

Winds Monday will turn from the west to the northwest and could be gusty at times.

After a stray shower or two Monday evening, high pressure will take hold. Skies will turn sunny Tuesday morning and will remain so until later Wednesday. The next chance for rain will be a scattered shower or two Wednesday night, but many areas will see little to no rain.

Temperatures will be a touch below normal Tuesday and Wednesday with highs near and just above 60 degrees respectively. Tuesday will have a blustery northwest wind, but Wednesday will have light winds.

Warmer Late-Week

Temperatures will return to the 70s on Thursday as winds turn back to the south ahead of the next substantial weather system.

After a dry and sunny start, thunderstorms will develop for the afternoon and evening. An early look at the set up shows at least some support for a couple stronger storms, so this will be something to monitor in the coming days. A lot can change between now and then.

Temperatures will settle near 70 degrees on Friday with just a couple morning showers possible. Thunderstorms will return to the forecast for later Saturday and Sunday with temperatures into the 70s at least.

Memorial Day next Monday is currently looking dry and warm with highs well into the 70s but with low humidity.

storm prediction center outlook may 20 2019 tornado outbreak
A major outbreak of severe weather, including large, destructive tornadoes, will unfold later Monday across Texas and Oklahoma.

Side Note- Classic Tornado Alley Outbreak Today

Elsewhere, a major tornado outbreak is expected today across portions of Texas and Oklahoma.

Several large, destructive tornadoes are likely in this textbook severe weather event for the Southern Plains. Extreme hail and damaging winds are also likely.

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a high risk for this event, which is the highest level of threat they issue. Areas in the pink have a 1-in-3 chance of a tornado touching down within 25 miles of a given location.

Hopefully everyone will remain safe today and the tornadoes will primarily remain in open fields away from houses.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have three young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.