A brief break in the chances for rain

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday august 14 2019 sun clouds rain thursday
Look for a mix of sun and clouds on Wednesday with dry conditions. Rain chances will increase on Thursday. [Photo by Dale Swarts]

Quiet Weather Wednesday

A large but disorganized area of low pressure is located along the Mid-Atlantic coast this morning while high pressure spreads east across Canada.

For the Finger Lakes, the high pressure will be the more dominant force today.

Skies are mixed this morning with some areas of sun and areas of clouds. Gradually, the clouds should become less, though they are unlikely to completely disappear.

Rain is not expected today, outside of a very isolated shower this morning. Temperatures should top out in the 75-80 degree range.

Light north winds will blow throughout the day with top gusts under 20 mph.

The overnight will start partly cloudy to mostly clear, but some clouds will push back in from the south. A few showers could even enter the southern part of the region before dawn on Thursday.

Next Rain Chances

Moisture will push back north into New York state on Thursday. Scattered showers and storms should develop as a result.

For most of the daytime hours Thursday, rain will be confined to the southern half of the Finger Lakes. Roughly speaking, areas north of Route 20 will have much lower chances for rain.

There is some uncertainty in how much rain will develop even further south on Thursday.

The chances for rain will spread north Thursday evening with showers continuing through the night. A few scattered showers will linger throughout Friday.

Temperatures for Thursday and Friday should remain in the mid and upper 70s.

Warming Up

The temperature will increase as we head into the weekend.

Saturday will push into the low 80s for most areas. Dewpoints will rise into the upper half of the 60s, making it feel muggy.

A few pop up afternoon showers and storms will be possible in the warm, humid air.

Sunday will be warmer yet with many places in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees. Again, a few isolated showers and storms may be possible, but most areas will stay dry.

Monday will be more of the same with temperatures climbing above 90 degrees for many areas. The humidity will result in a heat index several degrees higher. One or two isolated showers and storms may develop late in the day.

Temperatures should retreat some after Monday, but how far remains to be seen. It may remain warm and muggy throughout next week.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have three young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

2 Responses

  1. Avatar
    John Gregoire
    |

    I always thought that by definition areas north of Rtes 5/20 were not considered Finger Lakes???

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      |

      My forecast area has always gone to the shore of Lake Ontario.

      Ask 100 people what the Finger Lakes (or any vague geographic region) are and you will get 100 (or more) different answers.