Active, Cold Pattern
A small bubble of high pressure has built into the Finger Lakes today behind a cold front last night and ahead of another small system late today.
For now, skies are a mix of sun and clouds this morning. Some areas have a fine sugar-coating of snow while others remain free of white. There will be more chances for snow in the coming days.
The wind today will be on the blustery side thanks to the close proximity of the weather systems to the high pressure. Look for gusts in the 25-35 mph range from the west and northwest.
Temperatures will be cooler today than yesterday thanks to those winds and the passage of last night’s cold front. Highs will reach the low to perhaps mid 40s.
A few snow showers will work back in late this afternoon with a better chance for snow this evening. The snow may fall steadily for a couple hours with a more widespread coating. A few roads could be a bit slick as temperatures drop below freezing and into the 20s.
This system will press east for the second half of the overnight and skies will turn partly cloudy to clear.
Thursday will be similar to today with some periods of sun and blustery northwest winds. However, there will be a greater chance for on and off snow showers at any time, and temperatures will struggle (and for many areas fail) to reach 40 degrees.
Watching Friday Night
Much of Friday will be a quiet day with periods of sun mixing with and eventually giving way to clouds. Winds will not be as gusty and will turn to the southwest. Temperatures will respond by rising into the mid 40s.
Attention then turns to a low pressure system that will track from west to east through the region. This low will be stronger than the weak systems earlier in the week.
The track of this low has been trending northward, which is placing at least the southern half of region into the area of steady snow. Currently, the core of the heaviest snow is still predicted to be south of the NY-PA state line, but it is far too close for any certainty that this will remain the case.
A shift back to the south could also be in the cards, but for now, the southern half of the region should expect to wake up Saturday morning to a couple inches of snow with increasing amounts the further south one is.
I will of course be keeping an eye on this and will have more details in tomorrow’s update, with a full snow report either Thursday evening or Friday morning.
Any lingering snow should end early Saturday morning with increasing sunshine later in the day. Temperatures will partly depend on the path of the system, with low 40s where it snows, but mid or even upper 40s to the north.
Sunday will finally see temperatures bounce back into the 50s thanks to partial sunshine and a south wind. A few late day showers cannot be ruled out as a cold front slides through.
High temperatures early next week will return to the 40s with more chances for light precipitation. Temperatures should work back into the 50s for the latter part of next week.
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