Best Chances for Rain
An area of low pressure is stalled out over New England this morning and will remain in place for the next few days.
The Finger Lakes reside on the far western edge of influence from this low. There will be just enough moisture and just enough energy to keep a few pop-up showers and storms in the forecast. However, most areas will not see much if any rain.
The rain chances today are quite small with only widely scattered brief showers expected. The further northeast, the better the chances for one of these showers. A couple rumbles of thunder will also be possible.
Tuesday looks like the best chance for rain showers in our region, though again, areas further east will have a better shot at some rain.
Wednesday’s rain chances look to be greater than today, but less than Tuesday, and again primarily in the east.
Temperatures all three days will be similar, ranging from the mid 70s to the low 80s. The areas most likely to eclipse 80 degrees will be the I-90 corridor today and again on Wednesday. Dewpoints will remain in the low and mid 60s.
Winds will be from the north-northwest today at 10-15 mph. Tuesday and Wednesday’s winds will remain from the north, but at speeds below 10 mph.
Dry and Hotter
By late in the week, the low pressure system will move out to sea and our rain chances will become minimal.
It is too early to completely eliminate a stray shower or two Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, but any rain that falls should be brief and light.
Dry weather should continue through the weekend and into next week. At the same time, temperatures will begin to climb.
All the Finger Lakes region should break into the 80s on Thursday. A few isolated locations near I-90 could even approach 90 degrees. Dewpoints will actually drop slightly into the upper 50s, so it won’t seem quite as muggy, even though it is hotter.
Friday will be similarly hot and dewpoints may come back into the 60s. Most places will end up in the mid 80s.
Mid 80s will continue through the weekend with dewpoints continuing to push further into the 60s.
Above average temperatures are likely to persist into next week with a chance for some very hot weather.
I continue to feel like the models have been overdoing heat in the 7-14 day time frame for the last several weeks, so time will tell whether the excessive heat showing for next week actually comes to pass or not. Stay tuned.
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