Sunny and milder Tuesday ahead of cold front Wednesday

finger lakes weather forecast tuesday october 6 2020 sunny mild cold front
A sunny, mild day is in store for the Finger Lakes Tuesday ahead of a blustery cold front tomorrow. [Photo by Melissa Stella]

Pleasant Fall Weather

High pressure this morning is centered over the Mid-Atlantic region while a low is skirting across Canada and dragging a cold front into Upper Great Lakes.

Southwest winds between the high and low pressure systems will team up with plenty of sunshine to bring some milder temperatures into the region.

To start, though, it is another cool morning with widespread low and mid 40s and a few pockets of 30s.

As the sun climbs higher in the sky, the winds will increase with speeds around 10 mph and gusts to 25 mph.

Temperatures will push into the mid 60s throughout the region this afternoon. Late in the afternoon, a few clouds may move in, but no rain is expected.

Clouds will continue to increase this evening and southwest winds will persist. Temperatures should hold at or above 55 through midnight with overnight lows in the low 50s to the south and mid 50s to the north.

By dawn Wednesday, showers will be moving into the region ahead of the cold front. Most of the rain will be light, but a few heavier showers or even thunderstorms will be possible during the midday and afternoon hours.

Winds will increase further as the front moves through and the wind direction turns westerly and then northwesterly. During the late morning and early afternoon tomorrow, wind speeds will be 15-20 mph with gusts over 40 mph. Any thunderstorms that manage to develop could produce locally stronger gusts.

The wind will gradually diminish Wednesday night, but clouds and a few showers will linger, keeping temperatures mostly in the 40s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday october 6 2020
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Second Warming Trend

Thursday will be a rather cloudy day, though sunshine should gradually increase. Any lingering spits of rain in the morning will dissipate quickly.

Winds will remain blustery, especially southeast of a Syracuse-Ithaca-Elmira line. Gusts over 30 mph will be possible in those areas, still coming from the northwest. Lighter winds are expected to the north and west.

Temperatures will bottom out behind the front, with highs Thursday in the mid 50s and overnight temperatures falling to the 40s and locally the 30s. Light winds from the west and eventually southwest will keep temperatures from falling much further.

Friday will be very much like today. After the cool start, abundant sunshine and south winds will propel temperatures back into the mid 60s.

Saturday looks even warmer with 70s likely. There will be some clouds early on, but plenty of sunshine as well. A stray shower later in the day cannot be totally ruled out.

The weather becomes much less certain beyond Saturday. The models look chaotic in terms of both temperatures and rain potential. This may be partially due to uncertainty surrounding Hurricane Delta, which has developed in the western Caribbean Sea and has its sights set on Louisiana early this weekend.

While cooler weather will be possible, most of next week looks to favor warm weather. Stay tuned.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.