Warm front brings milder temperatures, but only for today

finger lakes weather forecast monday september 27 2021 warm front mild cold front cool
Temperatures will jump into the 70s today but a cold front tonight will knock them back down for the rest of the week for the coolest air yet this season. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Warm Front-Cold Front

A push of warmer air moving into the Finger Lakes has triggered some early morning showers about the region.

These showers are quickly moving off to the east and will depart the region by the mid-morning hours.

In their wake, skies will remain rather cloudy, but the clouds will thin and allow some filtered sunshine through the afternoon hours.

Southwest winds will be enhanced by the approach of a cold front from the northwest and a large high pressure centered over the southeastern United States. As these two systems bump up against each other, wind speeds will increase to 10 mph with gusts of 25-30 mph.

The wind will help drive the temperature upwards despite the lack of full sunshine. Highs this afternoon will reach the low and mid 70s throughout the area. This will be the warmest weather of the workweek.

The cold front will drop into the region tonight, first with thickening clouds and then some scattered showers after midnight. The rain tonight should be less than the rain this morning. Nighttime temperatures will remain in the low 60s for most of the night before dipping into upper 50s towards dawn.

By Tuesday morning, the rain should mostly be across the southernmost counties in our region. Meanwhile, the northernmost counties will start the day off with some breaks of sun poking through the clouds.

The rain will end in the south by noon and skies will brighten throughout the area. Some clouds will linger, but tomorrow afternoon should be sunnier than today.

However, north and northwest winds will blow at 5-10 mph, pushing chilly air into the region. Highs will be about ten degrees colder tomorrow, topping out in the low and mid 60s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday september 27 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Cool and Quiet

The rest of the week will be characterized by cool and quiet weather.

Skies will be mostly clear Tuesday night, allowing widespread 40s throughout the region. Areas immediately along lake shores may stay near 50 with upper 40s through the northern half of the region. To the south, mid or even low 40s are more likely.

Wednesday will have periods of sun, but also plenty of fair weather clouds during the late morning and first half of the afternoon. Skies may become mostly cloudy at times. A brief spit of rain cannot be totally ruled out, mostly in the Syracuse area.

Temperatures will be no warmer on Wednesday with highs in the low and mid 60s.

The chance for a stray shower will increase Wednesday night as another small cold front moves through. Most areas will be dry, though. Despite some extra clouds Wednesday night, temperatures will drop into the mid and upper 40s.

The clouds will hang on to a large extent for Thursday, though some breaks of sun will be possible, especially later in the day. North winds will reinforce the chilly air, with highs only in the mid and upper 50s.

Skies will clear Thursday night, leading to the coldest night of the week. Morning lows Friday will be in the low and mid 40s. Areas immediately along the lakes will dip to the upper 40s, and a few of the localized colder pockets of the Southern Tier and Central New York could flirt with upper 30s.

Fair weather clouds will develop on Friday and will probably become thick for most of the day. A few areas will crawl back to about 60 degrees, but most areas will top out in the upper 50s.

Southwest winds will take over for the weekend with temperatures warming well into the 60s, if not the 70s. Dry weather is currently expected.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday september 27 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.