Rain and snow showers today and Saturday

finger lakes weather forecast thursday february 10 2022 rain showers flurries cold front
Some sun Friday will help temperatures into the 40s once more, but cold air will return soon. [Photo by Joan Lockwood]

Cold Fronts

An unsettled pattern will persist into the weekend as a series of weather systems swing through the area.

One such system, centered well to the north over Canada, is dragging a weak cold front through the area this morning.

Plenty of cloud cover and some scattered rain and snow showers accompany this front this morning. None of the precipitation is overly heavy, and with temperatures starting in the mid 30s, no travel impacts are being felt.

Throughout the day, pieces of atmospheric energy will continue to pass through, keeping skies cloudy and the chances for spotty precipitation in place. Most of this will become rain from the later morning hours through the mid-afternoon as temperatures rise into the upper 30s and low 40s.

Winds will turn from the southwest to the west and will pick up steam. Wind speeds will be just over 10 mph and top gusts could hit 30 mph.

Temperatures will drop slowly late this afternoon and evening but should be cold enough for the final lingering rain showers to turn to snow. A brief burst is not out of the question, but accumulations should be under a half-inch.

Temperatures will only reach the mid 20s tonight as winds shift back to the southwest, then south.

The best chance for some sun Friday will be in the morning. Clouds will increase and some more rain showers will be possible late in the day. Overall, it will be a very similar day to yesterday, with the increasing clouds and highs pushing into the mid 40s.

Rain showers will increase Friday night, especially after midnight, as a cold front approaches from the west. This front will move through sometime during the morning or midday hours Saturday, accompanied by a brief burst of snow and a quick drop in temperatures.

Ahead of the front, temperatures will be hovering in the mid 30s. Within minutes of the frontal passage, temperatures will drop into mid and upper 20s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday february 10 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Three-Day Cold

Temperatures will continue to fall late Saturday and through Saturday night. By Sunday morning, temperatures will range from around 5 degrees to the low 10s.

The warmer areas will be downwind of Lake Ontario, where northwest winds will produce some lake effect. The snow that falls is mostly expected to be spotty and light, but some localized areas could see several inches of fluff. This will especially be possible in Wayne County.

Light north winds will ensure temperatures rise little during the day Sunday with highs mostly near or below 15 degrees. Sun and some thin clouds are likely outside of the lake effect areas.

Some lake effect may linger into Sunday night, but many areas will see clearing skies and nearly calm winds. This will lead to widespread subzero temperatures, with some colder pockets getting down to -10 degrees.

Monday will have a mix of sun and clouds. A lingering lake effect flurry cannot be ruled out, especially early on. Highs will again struggle into the mid 10s.

Some clouds Monday night should mostly keep temperatures above zero, but not by much. Warmer air will start to nudge its way in, with highs Tuesday reaching the mid 20s. A few snow showers will be possible as the warm air moves in.

Wednesday morning will once again see single digit lows, but highs will jump into the upper 30s if not near 40. Thursday will be warmer yet before temperatures settle into a near-average pattern of highs in the 30s.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday february 10 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.