Areas of locally dense morning fog will burn off, leaving a sunny and warm day today.
The fog will stick around into the mid-morning hours before it gradually gives way to sunny skies. Most of the fog should be gone before noon.
From there, skies will be mostly sunny with a few clouds here and there. As high pressure slides to the east, light south winds will develop.
Temperatures will mostly range from the upper 50s into the mid 60s, though a lake breeze off Lake Ontario will keep the shoreline areas in the 40s.
Some thin clouds will work in from the south tonight, holding temperatures around 40 degrees. Pockets of warmer and cooler temperatures are likely based on topography.
Much of Thursday morning will continue to see these thin clouds. The southeastern half of the Finger Lakes may see some thicker clouds for a time, and a stray shower cannot be ruled out south and east of about Ithaca.
Skies should be bright in the afternoon with light south winds remaining in place.
For areas that see thin clouds through the morning and sunny skies in the afternoon, temperatures will be well into the 60s or even near 70. Thicker clouds to the southeast will put a limit on the warming, but how exactly the gradient in temperatures set up is a bit uncertain. Highs in the 50s will be possible near and east of an Elmira-Ithaca-Cortland line.
Friday will bring slightly more uniform temperatures, though another lake breeze off Lake Ontario will keep areas north of I-90 cooler. There, highs will range through the 50s, while areas south of the Thruway should mostly be in the low 60s with a few pockets of mid 60s.
Sunshine early Friday will be replaced with clouds during the afternoon. Rain showers will move in during the evening, but the daytime hours look as though they will stay dry.
Unsettled and Cooler
A weak area of low pressure will move in overhead on Saturday. A warm sector just ahead of the low will likely result in at least a brief period of temperatures in the 60s.
For the most part, though, it will be a dreary day. Periods of rain will be off and on. Steadier rain is likely during the morning hours, while the afternoon will be more scattered. A couple rumbles of thunder are not out of the question, either.
Cooler air will start to make inroads Saturday night and Sunday. Morning temperatures Sunday may start in the low 40s, but highs will only gain a few degrees by midday. Afternoon temperatures will possibly fall back towards 40 degrees.
The weather will remain unsettled as well, with plenty of cloud cover and on and off rain showers. Higher elevations may see some snow mix in Sunday evening as temperatures fall back into the 30s.
The start of next week looks quiet with a mix of sun and clouds. A few snow showers will also be possible Monday night. Temperatures will be closer to the climatological average, which has highs in the mid 40s.
The trend in the models has been to cool the rest of next week closer to average as well, though there is still a chance for a milder day or two later in the week.
Temperatures to close out March have likewise trended to near or slightly below average, which probably means it is not time to put away the shovels yet, just in case.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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