Quiet and cloudy today ahead of rainy, windy Wednesday

finger lakes weather forecast tuesday november 29 2022 cloudy rain wind wednesday
After another cloudy, but quiet, day today, Wednesday will feature widespread rain and strong winds. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Next Weather Maker

Another area of low pressure will pass through the Finger Lakes tomorrow, but it will be a quiet day today ahead of it.

Clouds remain plastered across the region this morning and are streaming in from the southwest ahead of the low. There may be some thin patches in the clouds that at least brighten the skies a little, but the chances for full sunshine look minimal today.

Despite the clouds, it will be a quiet sort of day. No precipitation is expected, and winds will be light. The wind will be from the south and southeast with speeds around 5 mph until they inch upwards late.

Temperatures will be close to or just a smidgeon above average today. Most areas will see mid 40s, while some of the hilltops stick to the low 40s.

Wind speeds will gradually ramp up after sunset. Evening wind speeds will build to 10-15 mph, and overnight winds will rise to near 20 mph by sunrise. The wind direction will remain southerly.

Temperatures this evening will take an initial dip into the mid and upper 30s. Most of the night will see steady temperatures before a predawn rise into the upper 30s and low 40s.

Rain will start to arrive around sunrise, spreading from west to east across the region. This rain will be widespread and will continue through the morning and into the early and mid afternoon. A few lulls in the precipitation may be possible at times, but so too will some heavier downpours.

While the rain falls, the winds will whip. Coming from the south, wind speeds will be around 20 mph and gusts will be 40-45 mph. Some hilltops may gust to 50 mph. Warmer air will seep in with highs reaching around 50 degrees.

The rain should come to a quick end from west to east between 1-4 PM. As this happens, winds will turn to the west and then west-northwest. Cooler air will quickly move in, sending temperatures into the 30s by sunset.

Some lake snows from Lake Erie will build into the Finger Lakes but will only stick around for a brief period before drifting south out of the region Wednesday night. Locally an inch may fall, but most areas will not see more than a quick coating.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday november 29 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Late Week and Weekend Weather

Wind speeds will drop Wednesday evening with gusts mainly under 30 mph. However, the wind will kick back up Thursday after sunrise. West-northwest winds will blow at 15-20 mph with gusts as high as 45 mph. The strongest winds will be in the morning and midday hours, with a gradual reduction during Thursday afternoon.

The winds will keep temperatures down on Thursday. Morning lows will start in the mid and upper 20s and afternoon highs will only make it to the mid 30s.

There will probably be some sunshine darting in and out of lake effect clouds on Thursday. No snow is expected off Lake Erie, and the Lake Ontario band should stay just north of our area in Oswego and Oneida counties. Traveling north on I-81 or east on I-90 in those areas could be tricky.

The wind will finally relent on Friday with a gentle southerly breeze. Skies will be a mix of sun and clouds and highs should jump back into the mid 40s.

Winds will build again Friday night into Saturday, with the strongest weekend winds coming Saturday evening. Gusts over 40 mph will again be possible, but for just a short time.

These winds will be generated by another passing weather system, which should bring some showers in for Saturday. This rain does not look widespread or heavy. High temperatures may push back towards or above 50 degrees.

Sunday looks to have a mix of sun and clouds with dropping wind speeds. It will be cool behind Saturday’s system, with highs in the upper 30s.

Next Monday looks cloudy and quiet with highs in the 40s out ahead of the next weather system, very similar to today.

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday november 29 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.