Late Week Weather
High pressure along the coast of the Carolinas will supply both warmer air and some sunshine to the Finger Lakes today.
However, a series of low pressure systems over the middle of the nation will press eastward, bringing unsettled weather back into the area.
Skies are mostly clear this morning with just a few thin clouds dotting the region. South winds have kept temperatures up, with most areas starting out well into the 30s with just a few pockets of 20s.
Light south winds will continue to blow today between the high pressure to our southeast and lower pressures to the west. Coupled with ample sunshine through the middle of the afternoon and we have a recipe for warm weather.
High temperatures today should range from the mid 40s in some higher elevations to the low 50s in the northern lake plains. These temperatures are fifteen to twenty degrees above average. Area rivers prone to ice jam flooding will need to be monitored closely.
Clouds will increase during the waning hours of sunlight and will thicken quickly this evening. Moisture will increase, leading to some areas of drizzle. Where snow remains on the ground, fog may also develop.
Steady south winds will persist through the night. With the clouds in place, temperatures overnight will range from some pockets of mid 30s all the way to mid 40s. Most areas should be near or slightly above 40 degrees.
Friday will remain rather cloudy with the occasional shower, spits of drizzle, and areas of fog. The best chance for some pokes of sunshine through the overcast will come during the mid to late afternoon.
South and southwest winds will continue to push warm air into the region and Friday should end up the warmest of the upcoming warm days. Even higher elevations will flirt with 50 degrees, and the typically warmer areas should easily get above 55 degrees.
Clouds will only increase and thicken Friday night with a continued chance for drizzle, fog, and stray showers. Nighttime temperatures will again range through the upper 30s and lower 40s.
New Year’s Weekend
Saturday morning will probably end up mostly dry as rain consolidates to the west. A stray shower cannot be ruled out, but neither can a few glimpses of sunshine.
During the afternoon, a slow moving front will creep eastward. Rain will increase and should eventually become widespread and steady before sunset. The rain will continue through New Year’s Eve and into the first hours of 2023. Rainfall amounts should mostly stay under a half-inch.
Winds on Saturday will be from the south with speeds up to 10 mph. Temperatures will settle into the mid and upper 40s during the afternoon and should remain in the mid 40s until after midnight.
As the front passes during the predawn hours, winds will turn to the west-northwest with speeds of 10-15 mph and temperatures will drop to the mid and upper 30s.
A few rain showers, possibly mixing with a few snowflakes, may linger until after sunrise on Sunday. The chances for rain will diminish quickly, and by the afternoon, some sunshine should work its way out. High temperatures will be in the low 40s.
The northwest wind will continue through the early afternoon with a few gusts over 30 mph. Late in the day, the wind speed will drop and the direction will shift back to the southwest. Clouds will move back in Sunday night.
Evening temperatures will fall to the low 30s, but overnight temperatures will rise back to the mid and even upper 30s.
Monday will be cloudy with highs in the mid 40s. Winds will be light as they gradually turn to the west, then become mostly calm late in the day.
A pair of weather systems are expected for the middle and end of next week. The first will move through on Tuesday will a batch of rain, but with generally light amounts. The second system is less certain but has more potential for higher precipitation amounts.
Temperatures will remain warm through the first system, but cooler air will be possible behind the second, if not before the second system.
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.