The low pressure system that has been impacting our region since the weekend is finally working its way away from the area.
The center of the low is picking up steam as it heads east and is currently out over the Atlantic region. It has left behind a little bit of atmospheric energy, however, so the rain is not completely out of the picture yet.
Skies are starting out cloudy and a few spits of rain will be possible through the morning hours. Gradually, some sun will poke out as skies transition from the morning overcast to numerous fair weather clouds.
Scattered showers will also increase this afternoon, though they will be much more isolated than any other day this week so far. Many areas will probably get through the day with little to no rain, and those that do see rain should only see brief showers.
North and northwest winds will blow with speeds over 5 mph, but under 10 mph. Even with the northerly flow, temperatures will be warmer than yesterday, yet still well below average. Look for afternoon highs mostly between 50-55 degrees.
Tonight, showers will dissipate, and clouds will gradually lessen. Temperatures will drop to the mid 30s with a few pockets ending up around the freezing mark.
Friday will have some sun, plenty of fair weather clouds, and just the small chance for a stray, isolated shower, mainly east of Cayuga Lake. Almost all, if not all, the region will end up dry.
Northerly winds will continue at around 5 mph, but temperatures will still add a couple more degrees for highs in the mid and upper 50s.
Skies should clear out Friday night, resulting in another night of mostly mid 30s but with some colder pockets.
Saturday will be the first day that it can be safely said there will be no precipitation in the area as high pressure moves overhead. Fair weather clouds will be likely, but probably to a slightly less extent than on Friday.
Light north winds will persist at or under 5 mph and highs will continue to rise, reaching the low 60s.
High pressure will continue to sit overhead for Sunday. Morning temperatures will be a bit warmer in the low 40s. Afternoon highs will also tack on another couple of degrees, reaching the mid 60s.
These temperature ranges are spot on the climatological averages for early May. Ithaca, for example, has an average high on Sunday of 65 degrees and an average low of 41 degrees. Geneva’s averages are 64 and 43 degrees, respectively.
Mainly thin clouds are expected on Sunday, though a few small fair weather clouds will probably mix in at times, too. Northwest winds will pick up a little speed, coming in between 5-10 mph. The wind should go calm during the nighttime hours.
Monday will have similar temperatures with low and mid 40s for low and mid 60s for highs. Much of the day will be sunny, but an increase in thin clouds is expected late in the day. This will be in response to the next weather maker approaching from the west.
Some scattered showers will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday as this system makes its way into the area. The rain does not look too heavy, long lasting, or widespread at this point. There are even some models that keep the rain away altogether. For now, though, I think it is safe to assume that at least a few showers will dot the region on these days.
Temperatures will generally hold their pattern, with mid and low 60s on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. Nighttime temperatures will warm a little with the extra cloud cover and may not drop below 50 degrees Tuesday night.
Late week temperatures will also hold in the 60s, but some warmer air may try to sneak in for next weekend. The weather should also become more active, with some showers or thunderstorms, especially later in the weekend or early the following week.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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