More of the Same
High pressure along the New England coast will continue to keep our weather dry and warmer than average for the remainder of the week.
The weather pattern across most of the nation is stagnant and little will change anywhere throughout the week.
About the only appreciable change in our weather locally will be for temperatures to continue to increase.
Expect mostly sunny skies today, though a few small fair weather clouds, and some areas of light wildfire smoke, will mix in with the sunshine. Unlikely last week, any smoke today will be coming from Nova Scotia, to our east, but the core of the smoke plume is expected to move south into New Jersey and Pennsylvania.
Temperatures today will be similar to, or perhaps a touch lower than, yesterday. This will be due to a shift in the wind to the southeast. The wind will be light, so an afternoon lake breeze will bring northerly winds to areas along and north of I-90.
Most areas will be in the low 80s today. Cortland county will be around 80 degrees, while some mid 80s are likely in Syracuse, and from Dansville up to Rochester over to Geneva, and possibly in a few localized valleys of the Southern Tier.
Clear skies will dominate tonight with lows dropping down to the low and mid 50s across the south, but only the upper 50s across the north.
Wednesday will be a little warmer with a light southerly flow early on, becoming nearly calm with a slight lake breeze in the afternoon. Look for highs mostly in the mid 80s. Clouds and smoke will be similarly limited as they will be today.
Temperatures will continue to rise on Thursday with many areas in the upper 80s and several urban centers likely hitting 90 degrees. Friday will best Thursday by a degree or two, with even higher elevations getting several degrees above 85 degrees.
Thursday will also have few clouds, but Friday should have more in the way of fair weather afternoon clouds. There is still a small chance for a stray shower or storm, but the majority of the region will stay dry.
When Will It Rain?
A small system will move through on Saturday, touching off a few more showers. There will still likely be plenty of areas that see little to no rain, though.
Temperatures will take a small hit with highs Saturday mostly limited to the low 80s. Sunday will be a touch lower yet, with highs sticking to the mid and upper 70s.
Sunday will be sunny and dry once again.
Another system will move in for Monday with some late scattered showers. These, like the rain Friday and Saturday, look mostly inconsequential.
The weather pattern over America will remain stagnant and slow moving even well into next week. However, there is a chance that an area of low pressure may be able to spin its way into the northeastern United States.
If this happens, there will at least be some more chances for rain through next week. It is too early to say whether this will come to pass, and if it does, how much rain might be expected.
Temperatures should flip and head below average for a time starting the middle of the week, especially if it ends up rainy. Daily highs look to be in the 65 to 75 degree range, though both warmer or colder temperatures could be possible, depending on how the slow moving low evolves next week.
Even in the colder scenarios, though, clouds and showers keep nighttime temperatures mostly in the 50s with some dips into the 40s, but nothing remotely close to frost inducing levels.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.