Another Weather System Moving Through
High pressure is over the Finger Lakes this morning, but a pair of low pressure systems will make their way toward our region.
One of these lows will track through the Ohio River Valley today, while the second will lag a bit further to the west, tracking through the Midwest and southern Great Lakes.
Clouds streaming out ahead of these lows are already in place over the Finger Lakes, though there are breaks of clear skies as well this morning.
Periods of broad thin clouds will mix with smaller fair weather clouds and some sunshine today. The later in the day it gets, the greater the chance for sky-blanketing clouds. Even then, some sunshine may still filter through at times.
No rain is expected during the daytime hours, despite the clouds.
Winds will be light from the northwest for much of the day. Wind speeds will be near or under 5 mph. During the latter parts of the afternoon, the wind will turn to the north, then northeast. By evening, winds will be out of the east, where they will remain, still lightly, through the night.
Most areas will be in the mid and upper 70s this afternoon. A few of the urbanized valleys of the Southern Tier will top out around 80 degrees.
Rain will spread from southwest to northeast during the evening hours. Light to moderate rain will fall initially, but after midnight, some heavier downpours will start to become more widespread. This will push rain totals into the 0.5 to 1.5 inch range for most areas by Tuesday morning. Localized pockets of 2 inches or more are not out of the question.
This should not be enough to produce any significant flooding problems, though small streams and particularly water-prone basements may see some localized issues.
The rain should largely pull out by the early morning hours on Tuesday as the first of the lows moves on. However, the second low will still be meandering to our west, so additional showers will likely develop on Tuesday, especially in the afternoon. The late morning and early afternoon hours on Tuesday have the best shot at drying out for a few hours.
With the clouds and rain, it will be warm and muggy tonight with lows in the low and mid 60s. Temperatures will not be quite as warm tomorrow afternoon, though, with highs in the low and mid 70s.
Some Quiet Weather, Please
The weather will trend toward an overall less active pattern for the rest of the week.
After a few lingering showers early Wednesday, most of the day should be dry with a mix of sun and clouds.
Temperatures will regain what they lost on Tuesday, with highs making it into the upper 70s with a few low 80s.
Thursday will see more widespread low 80s with some of the warmer pockets pushing toward the mid 80s. It will be a sunny day with the typical summertime fair weather clouds.
The next weather system will move through sometime on Friday, most likely early in the day. The atmosphere will not have much to work with, so a period of scattered showers is all that is currently expected.
If the front instead moves through later in the day, some thunderstorms could be possible.
A shower may linger into Saturday, but these may mostly be contained to near Lake Ontario. This is the least certain part of the forecast for the week.
After dropping to the low and mid 70s on Friday, temperatures will return to around 80 degrees on Saturday. Sunday is currently looking warm but pleasant, with highs in the 80s under partly cloudy skies.
Much of next week has low chances for precipitation, but low confidence. Random pop-up showers seem most likely until a late week weather system. Temperatures should stay somewhere around 80 degrees, give or take.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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