Sunny and cool Thursday; Dry through the weekend

finger lakes weather forecast thursday september 14 2023 sunny higher pressure cool temperatures fair weather clouds
The next substantial chance for rain will not be until Monday with temperatures staying near to slightly below average. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Cool and Dry

A large area of high pressure has settled into the Great Lakes region and will keep our weather cool and dry for the next few days.

Morning temperatures are starting with a wide range, from the mid 40s to the mid 50s. Most areas have clear skies, though there is some early river valley fog. The fog should burn off quickly this morning.

Fair weather clouds will bubble up later on in the morning and persist into the late afternoon. As quickly as they develop, they will dissipate as sunset draws near.

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Winds will be out of the northwest with speeds up to 10 mph, particularly over the eastern Finger Lakes. These winds will keep temperatures and humidity levels down.

Most areas will only see a high in the mid 60s today. Some higher elevations will struggle to even get beyond 60 degrees. Dewpoints will be down into the low and mid 40s.

Clear skies and calm winds tonight will send temperatures down toward the dewpoint. Immediate lakeshore areas may manage to stay near 50 degrees, but the rest of the region will range through the 40s. The best chance for low 40s, and maybe even a few pockets of upper 30s, will be in the western Southern Tier and Central New York.

Friday will have lighter winds, few if any fair weather clouds, and slightly warmer temperatures. Look for highs mainly in the upper 60s with a few select urban areas hitting 70 degrees.

Friday night will again be chilly, with similar temperatures for most areas. Areas east of Cayuga Lake may be a couple of degrees warmer as some thin clouds associated with Hurricane Lee spread westward into the region.

The overall expectation for Lee has been a slight push to the east, which means the cloud shield may not fully make it through the Finger Lakes. As such, the western half of the region may stay mostly sunny on Saturday. There will likely be a sharp edge to the clouds separating sunny and cloudy skies.

Temperatures are therefore more likely to reach or exceed 70 degrees in the sunnier areas, while cloudy areas remain in the upper 60s.

Saturday will also have a slight increase in northwest winds, with speeds similar to today, approaching 10 mph in the eastern Finger Lakes.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thu sep 14 | thur, sun and clouds mid 60 | fri, mostly sunny upper 60 | sat, some thin clouds east near 70 | sun, sun and clouds low 70 | mon, a few showers upper 60 | tues, a few am showers upper 60 | wed, sun and clouds low 70
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Small Rain Chances

Winds will turn, lightly, to the southwest on Sunday in advance of a small weather system moving into the Great Lakes region.

This should lead to an increase in clouds on Sunday, particularly in the afternoon. A stray shower cannot be ruled out, but the chances are low.

Temperatures on Sunday will start out with mid and upper 40s across the south, and low and mid 50s to the north. Afternoon highs should be between 70-75 degrees for all but a few higher elevations.

The best chance for showers will come Monday during the afternoon hours. The rain, at this time, looks scattered at best and rain amounts look low. A rumble of thunder or two may be possible.

With an increase in clouds, low temperatures Monday morning will be a touch milder in the low and mid 50s, while afternoon highs will be a touch cooler with mainly upper 60s.

A few showers may linger into early Tuesday, but the afternoon should see increasing sun.

This will likely kick off another period of dry weather, this time with slightly warmer temperatures possible. Rain does not look at all likely again until perhaps next weekend.

Meanwhile, temperatures will jump into the 70s on Wednesday and look to stay near or above 75 degrees through next weekend. Morning lows will mostly stick to the 50s.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thu sep 14 | thur, sun and clouds mid 60 | fri, mostly sunny upper 60 | sat, some thin clouds east near 70 | sun, sun and clouds low 70 | mon, a few showers upper 60 | tues, a few am showers upper 60 | wed, sun and clouds low 70
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.