Plenty of Clouds
November can be one of the cloudiest months of the year, and true to form, sunshine will be hard to come by for much of the next week.
Lake effect clouds behind an overnight cold front are plentiful throughout the Finger Lakes this morning. A few of these clouds are producing some scattered showers.
With temperatures starting mostly in the upper 30s and low 40s, most, if not all, of the precipitation should fall as rain. Most areas will see little to no precipitation this morning, though.
The chances for a stray shower will linger into the afternoon, but there should be an overall decrease in showers through the morning. Clouds will hang tough until around sunset, when a little sun may make a brief appearance before slipping beneath the horizon.
A steady northwest wind will team up with the clouds to hold temperatures down. Afternoon highs will only be a few degrees warmer than the morning temperatures, with most areas topping out in the low to mid 40s.
The wind will be strongest in the morning with speeds around 10 mph. Wind speeds will gradually back off through the afternoon.
For a brief time this evening, winds will be calm and skies will be mostly clear. Temperatures will start to drop, but will hold mostly steady after midnight as clouds increase and a southerly breeze picks up. Morning lows on Wednesday will range from the mid 30s near the lakes to the upper 20s across the Southern Tier and into Central New York.
A deck of clouds high in the atmosphere will be persistent throughout the day on Wednesday. No precipitation will fall from these clouds, and they may be thin enough at times to allow for some filtered sun to shine through.
South winds will increase to 5-10 mph with the strongest winds over higher elevations. Warmer air will move in on these winds, with highs around ten degrees warmer than today. For most areas, this means low and mid 50s. The Genesee Valle and Rochester area may see upper 50s, while a few hilltops in Central New York will top out around 50 degrees.
Some Sun, then Rain
The overcast will clear out Wednesday evening and skies will remain mostly clear throughout the night. The southerly flow will keep temperatures in the 30s overnight.
Thursday should have a good deal of sunshine, though a few clouds may pass through from time to time.
Temperatures will add a few more degrees onto the highs, with most areas in the mid and upper 50s. Highs will be near or above 60 degrees through the Genesee Valley and in some of the broad, urbanized valley locations of the Southern Tier, such as around Corning and Elmira.
Thursday night will be the mildest night coming up, with lows generally staying above 40 degrees. These temperatures will be the result of south winds increasing to 10-15 mph, coinciding with an increase in cloud cover.
Friday will be cloudy and breezy to start with south winds persisting after sunrise. It should be dry until the later afternoon, when rain will spread from west to east across the region. Rain will likely continue into the evening before departing overnight.
Highs on Friday will be close to Thursday in the mid and upper 50s with some warmer pockets. However, winds will turn to the northwest behind the rain Friday night, sending temperatures down to mid 30s by Saturday morning.
Saturday will be similar to today with plenty of clouds, a few spits of rain off Lake Ontario, and cool temperatures in the lower half of the 40s.
Sunday looks a bit cooler still, with many areas struggling to reach 40 degrees. Some rain and snow showers may be possible, but this remains uncertain.
Monday is currently looking sunny but nippy with highs in the 30s. Active weather is likely later Tuesday into Wednesday next week, but should clear out for cloudy, cool, but mostly dry Thanksgiving Day.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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