After several active days of weather, most of this week will be rather uneventful, but still gloomy.
Low pressure will meander over northern New England today, resulting in a westerly flow of somewhat cool air. Wind speeds will be around 10 mph.
Under this pattern, temperatures will not change much today. Most places are around 40 degrees this morning and will stay there until the late afternoon.
Some limited lake effect will spit rain showers at the region off and on today. None of the rain should be heavy or long lasting, and most areas will probably not see rain most of the day.
As the sun sets, precipitation may become more widespread as a small ripple of atmospheric energy passes through. Temperatures will also begin to slowly drop, so the rain should eventually turn over to snow showers.
Winds will shift to the northwest, bringing lake effect off Ontario south into parts of the region. None of the snow will be overly impressive, with nothing more than a light coating in some localized pockets.
Most of the snow will dissipate by Tuesday morning, but a few stray flurries will still be possible. Skies will remain cloudy throughout the day. Northwest winds will be light at around 5 mph.
Tuesday will be another day of little temperature movement, with morning lows near 30 and afternoon highs ranging through the 30s. Higher elevations will only be in the low 30s, while some of the valleys of the Southern Tier may see upper 30s. Most areas will be in the mid 30s.
Temperatures this week will be at their coolest on Wednesday, with afternoon highs mostly in the low 30s. Winds will be from the north-northwest, and the conditions will be a bit more favorable for lake effect snow showers.
Some very minor accumulations will be possible throughout the region, including a chance for some enhancement to the snow south-southeast of Seneca, Cayuga, Owasco, and Skaneateles lakes.
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Late Week Warming
Temperatures will start Thursday morning in the low and mid 20. However, afternoon highs will add a couple of degrees onto Wednesday, with most areas in the mid 30s.
A warm front will lift through the area, resulting in some widespread light snow. Accumulations look to be on the order of an inch or less.
If there is going to be any substantial sunshine this week, Friday is the day to look for it. Even then, the prospects look iffy, with at least thin clouds out ahead of a strong weekend weather system possible.
Regardless, temperatures look like they will be on the rise again. Highs on Friday should reach the mid 40s.
Saturday has a chance at reaching the 50s as warm air streams in ahead of the approaching storm system. Some stray showers are likely on Saturday as well.
Sunday looks to be rainy and windy as the storm rolls in. High temperatures will depend on the path of the low and the evolution of the rain and wind. Those are details that are uncertain this far in advance.
Provided the track of the storm does not shift significantly to the south, however, it should be another mild day.
Cold air will quickly move in behind this system, possibly changing the rain to snow before it ends. Lake effect snow looks possible next week, but the early indications keep most of it out of the Finger Lakes.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.