A disturbance will slowly meander through the Finger Lakes on Monday, triggering some showers and a few strong thunderstorms.
Atmospheric conditions are marginally favorable today for severe weather across the Finger Lakes as a disturbance moves into the region.
As this disturbance interacts with modest daytime heating and humidity and some gusty winds above the surface, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop over western New York early this afternoon. These storms will then move east across the Finger Lakes, where a few may become strong to severe.
The overall coverage of thunderstorms today will be scattered, and many areas will probably only see some showers and maybe a rumble of thunder. A few small clusters of strong storms may develop and bring isolated strong winds and small hail.
A widespread, significant severe weather event is not expected today.
The flash flood threat will also be fairly low, thanks in part to the recent dry weather. Some downpours will be possible, but they should not last long enough or be heavy enough to cause flash flooding.
Strong thunderstorms will move east of the area by the evening hours, though a few rumbles of thunder may persist through 8 or 9pm. A few additional thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday, but severe weather is not expected.
