Gorgeous Weather Wednesday
The weather will once again be just about perfect in the Finger Lakes today, but some changes are on the way starting Thursday.
Clear, sunny skies are in place this morning. Temperatures are pleasant, starting in the 50s for most areas.
The sunshine and a gentle south wind will help temperatures rise quickly this morning.
Temperatures today will top out a few degrees warmer than yesterday. Mid 70s are a good bet for most of the region, with a few upper 70s possible in the typically warmer areas in and around Rochester.
Fair weather clouds will bubble up by late morning. A few of these could grow enough to produce a couple isolated rain showers late in the afternoon.
Most areas will probably not see rain today. Those that do should only see a brief shower.
Though the region is greening up, a brush fire risk still remains with the low humidity and warm temperatures. The New York State burn ban continues until next Tuesday.
Front Brings Storms, Cool-Down
A cold front will approach the region on Thursday.
Ahead of this front, winds will start to increase overnight tonight. By Thursday morning, gusts could be approaching 40 mph. These south and southwest winds will persist through the afternoon.
Some morning showers will be possible as activity left over from the Great Lakes overnight slides through. A rumble of thunder could accompany this rain.
The rain will likely keep temperatures in the 60s Thursday, making the threat for afternoon thunderstorms rather marginal.
Still, a couple afternoon thunderstorms may manage to develop, especially for the eastern Finger Lakes and Central New York.
With gusty winds already in place, any thunderstorm that does manage to develop could enhance the wind. Severe thunderstorms are generally not expected, though.
Behind the front, Friday will turn cool. With north winds, look for highs Friday to top out in the upper 50s. After some morning clouds and a shower or two, the afternoon should turn sunny.
Another Front This Weekend
The weekend forecast remains uncertain.
A west-to-east frontal boundary will drape itself over the region.
As is often the case in these setups, a large gradient in temperature will set up, with cool air to the north and very warm air to the south.
At this time, it looks like the front will be near or over the Finger Lakes on Saturday. A batch of moderate to heavy rain may move through during the pre-dawn hours.
On and off showers then look likely throughout the rest of the day. Temperatures will be held in check by the clouds and showers, with highs possibly sneaking into the 60s.
If the front sets up even 50 mils further north, 70s will move into the region.
On Sunday, the front is likely to sink south. If this is the case, Mother’s Day will likely end up dry, but cool. Again though, any shift in the front could change this.
There is also a chance that the front sinks far enough south that we end up back in the sunshine, which could boost temperatures well into the 60s.
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