Persistent Lake Effect
Areas of lake effect snow continue across the Finger Lakes this morning and will persist into the afternoon.
Most of the snow that is falling is light, but a few heavier squalls are also possible.
At 7am, the heaviest snow was from Rochester through Geneva and into the southern half of Cayuga County.
The snow band will wobble to the south some but will generally stay in these areas today. The intensity should drop as the morning turns to the afternoon.
By the evening commute, the lake effect should be limited to a few scattered flurries.
Accumulations through the late afternoon will range from nothing to perhaps two or three inches in some of the more persistent snow bands.
As the lake effect dissipates this afternoon, some breaks of sunshine will work out.
It will be a cold day with high temperatures in the upper 20s and wind gusts to 25 mph. These winds will keep wind chills closer to 20 degrees throughout the day. Some areas of minor blowing snow will be possible.
Lake effect will redevelop northeast of Lake Erie overnight. This band will get swept east by a small disturbance Saturday morning.
This will result in a spray of snow showers early in the morning that will dissipate as it heads east. Accumulations from this will be an inch or less.
The lake effect won’t quit though, with new development off Lake Ontario occurring late Saturday afternoon. This band will initially move into Wayne, northern Cayuga, and northern Onondaga county before dropping south during the evening.
A brief burst of snow will be possible, especially between Rochester and Syracuse, with an inch or so falling.
High temperatures Saturday will be near 30 degrees, but again winds will be gusty, making it feel closer to 20 degrees.
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Quiet Stretch of Weather
High pressure will build in from the southwest Saturday night and entrench itself firmly in place to our south.
This will block a winter storm across the Deep South from moving north, resulting in some quiet weather for the Finger Lakes.
Sunday should be sunny with light winds and highs reaching the mid and upper 30s.
Monday will have a mix of sun and some clouds. Temperatures will be a bit cooler with highs in the low 30s.
Likewise, Tuesday will have partly cloudy skies and highs just near 30 degrees. Winds will start to turn more southerly overnight and into Wednesday.
With more sunshine on Wednesday, the south wind will push temperatures back into the mid and upper 30s.
We should get one more partially sunny day on Thursday though thin clouds will increase throughout the day. Temperatures will be around 40 degrees.
Forecast confidence is too low for accurate predictions beyond that as a large storm system rolls into the region.
Early indications are for this system to stall to our southwest over the Ohio Valley, keeping us on the warm side. However, snow could still be possible on the backside, especially if a second low develops along the coast.
Do not worry about that system yet though, just enjoy the sunshine after we shake the pesky lake snows.
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