An area of high pressure centered off the coast of Delaware will cause sunshine and warm temperatures today in the Finger Lakes.
The clockwise flow of air around the high will push mild air northwest from the Ohio Valley into the Finger Lakes.
Temperatures are starting the day 10-15 degrees above normal with upper 20s and low 30s widespread.
Afternoon highs will end up similarly warm, with mid and upper 40s compared to average highs in the low 30s. These temperatures will be well shy of any records though.
An area of thin cloud cover will work in from the south and will filter some of the sunshine. Areas near Lake Ontario and west of I-390 may not see any of these clouds.
Weekend Weather & Beyond
Additional clouds will move in tonight as low pressure lifts northeast towards the Mid-Atlantic region.
There will be a brief window from about 4-9 am on Saturday where some light precipitation may sneak into southeaster portions of the area.
Before dawn, some of this could end up as ice with temperatures near 32 degrees. After the sun rises, precipitation should become rain.
The Southern Tier and surrounding areas will have the best shot at seeing any of this precipitation. It seems unlikely that it will make it far enough to impact areas such as Syracuse, Auburn, Geneva, or Canandaigua.
A sunny afternoon should develop as the low pressure pulls away. Temperatures will remain above normal, with highs in the low to mid 40s.
Clouds will then increase for Sunday as moisture wraps back around the now strengthening low pressure.
Temperatures Sunday will reach the mid 30s with strong northwest winds of 30-40 mph. This will make it feel like the 20s.
Scattered snow showers will be possible in the morning before some sunshine later in the day.
The weather pattern for the early half of next week still looks active. Many details remain uncertain. The latest trend in the models have been for two systems split apart from one another instead of one stronger system.
This would decrease the chances for significant precipitation but drag out the period of active weather from Monday night through Wednesday. Stay tuned.