Rain and Freezing Rain
An area of precipitation is creeping northeastward into the Finger Lakes this morning.
Temperatures aloft are hovering near or just above freezing while surface temperatures are near or just below 30 degrees.
This has led to some areas of freezing rain across the Southern Tier early this morning (7am). The freezing rain will spread north and east into the remainder of the Finger Lakes over the next several hours.
Surface temperatures will rise this morning as well thanks to the normal daytime warming. It will be a race between the precipitation and temperatures.
My feeling is that many areas may see a little freezing rain at the onset of the precipitation, but that it will not be enough to cause any problems. A few pockets, mostly in higher elevations and in the Southern Tier, could see a thin glaze of ice.
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has opted to issue a few Winter Weather Advisories for its non-lake shore counties. The NWS in Binghamton instead opted for a less serious Special Weather Statement.
Any ice will turn over to rain over the course of the morning. A few localized areas of ice could linger in the southeastern Finger Lakes. Some snow may mix in at times but will not accumulate.
Rain will taper to showers this afternoon and linger into the evening. Temperatures should reach the mid 40s for areas west of Cayuga Lake with low 40s and a few upper 30s to the east.
Weekend Warm Up
Temperatures will hold in the upper 30s and low 40s Friday night as clouds linger. The first half of Saturday will also be cloudy, but the sun should eventually work out during the afternoon.
Highs will reach the mid and upper 50s across the Finger Lakes. Winds will be light with variable directions throughout the day.
Sunday will be even warmer as sunshine and south winds go to work. Most areas should see at least the mid 60s, but upper 60s and even 70 degrees are a reasonable expectation.
Some showers and maybe a rumble of thunder will move through during the overnight. At this time, they mostly look to be east of the region by Monday morning.
Monday will have a mix of sun and clouds, gusty west winds, and highs in the mid and upper 60s once again.
A few more showers will be possible on Tuesday as a front slides through. Temperatures will fall during the day, leading to a cooler pattern once more for the end of next week.
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