Otherwise unsettled week starts off quiet

finger lakes weather forecast monday july 1 2019 sunny rain thunderstorms july 4th weather 4th of july weather
Monday will be sunny and mild with low humidity. Temperatures, humidity, and rain chances will increase for the remainder of the week. [Photo by Valerie Smith]

July Starts Sunny

July is off to a sunny start today as high pressure slides through the area.

There are a few areas of valley fog in the Southern Tier, but these should burn off quickly this morning. A few passing clouds will develop later on in the day as well but should not impact the amount of sunshine today.

High temperatures will generally be in the upper 70s and low 80s this afternoon. Dewpoints will be in the 50s, so it will not feel muggy today.

Winds will be from the northwest but light. Top gusts will stay under 20 mph and periods of the day will be nearly calm.

Clouds will increase tonight as a frontal boundary approaches from the northwest. Some scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm will move in during the latter half of the overnight period, lingering into the early morning hours Tuesday.

Unsettled Week Ahead

Tuesday morning’s rain will kick off a period of unsettled weather that will culminate in widespread showers and storms Friday and Saturday.

Before that, though, there will be some additional chances for rain, starting later Tuesday.

After the morning rain, some sun should come out and temperatures will rise back into the upper 70s and low 80s.  Dewpoints will be much higher in the upper 60s, making it feel quite muggy. Showers and storms will pop up in this environment during the afternoon.

These storms should be quite scattered, so many areas will probably stay dry Tuesday afternoon.

A complex of showers and storms left over from activity over the Upper Great Lakes could move through after midnight Tuesday night. Some of that rain could linger over the eastern Finger Lakes into the early morning hours, if this complex moves through at all.

Many areas will stay dry Wednesday afternoon but a few isolated showers or storms may pop up, especially across the Southern Tier. Thursday will be similar, but at this time, looks to have even fewer showers.

High temperatures Wednesday should reach the low 80s for many with mid and upper 80s on July 4th, Thursday.

The chances for rain look higher Friday and Saturday. It seems unlikely that both days will be very rainy, but it is not certain which day will end up being the wettest. Right now, Saturday looks slightly favored to be the wetter of the two days.

A stretch of dry weather looks possible from Sunday though a good portion of next week.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.