Mixed Wednesday, Late Week Weather

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday march 4 2020
Sun and clouds will alternate today with some late showers or flurries. Blustery winds are also likely. [Photo by Jessica Fanaro]

Changing Conditions

The weather for the remainder of the week will be changeable as a couple more weather systems pass through the region.

The main story today will be blustery winds in the wake of last night’s cold front. As low pressure over New England pulls away, our winds will remain gusty through the first part of the afternoon. These winds will be from the west and may gust to 40 mph at times. Wind speeds will drop during the afternoon.

Skies are a mix of sun and clouds this morning, and that trend should also continue into the early afternoon. Then, clouds will increase again as a new, weak low pressure skirts east into Pennsylvania.  A few rain and snow showers will accompany this for the late afternoon and evening hours.

Temperatures will rise into the 40s this morning and top out in the low and mid 40s. Higher elevations in both the west and east will be the cooler areas. Temperatures will drop back into the 30s this evening with overnight lows in the mid and upper 20s for most areas.

Clouds will dissipate early Thursday, resulting in a sunny day. Winds will be light in the morning and will turn nearly calm in the afternoon as high pressure passes overhead. High temperatures should reach the mid 40s again for all but the higher elevations of the I-81 corridor, where low 40s will hang on.

The weather will then turn again for Friday as yet another system presses in. Despite temperatures peaking in the mid and upper 30s, snow appears likely, especially during the latter part of the day. Grassy surfaces will likely see some accumulation with roads becoming a bit messy after sunset. Most areas are probably looking at a 1-3 inch snowfall.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday march 4 2020
Click to enlarge.

Another Warming Trend

Cold air will bottom out Saturday morning with most areas in the teens. Skies will turn sunny though and temperatures will rebound to a high in the low or mid 30s.

High pressure will pass through on Saturday and head east Saturday evening. That will allow south winds to take hold Saturday night. After an initial temperature drop in the evening, temperatures will rise Saturday night. By Sunday morning, temperatures will be between 25-30 degrees.

Once the sun is up on Sunday, the south winds and clear skies will spike temperatures. Most of the region should get to or above 55 degrees Sunday afternoon.

Monday will also be warm, but not as sunny as clouds start to filter in. After morning lows in the 40s, highs will again be above 55 degrees for many areas. A couple places touching 60 is not out of the question.

Rain will move in on Tuesday with a cold front. High temperatures Tuesday will depend on the speed and timing of the front.

The air behind the cold front will not be cold, with temperatures remaining in the 40s for the middle of next week with more 50s possible toward the end of the week.

The models and pattern for the winter give no substantial reason to doubt that this type of pattern will continue even beyond next week.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.