Weather stays mild, rather cloudy

finger lakes weather forecast thursday october 7 2021 cloudy fog mild
Available sunshine will only marginally increase over the next few days but temperatures will be mild nonetheless. [Photo by Helen Heizyk]

Little Change

The Finger Lakes remain stuck in a mild yet cloudy weather pattern with only subtle changes for the next few days compared to how the rest of the week has been.

The area is once again starting off with plenty of low clouds and areas of dense fog this morning. There are no showers in the area with high pressure overhead and the moisture being limited to the lowest levels of the atmosphere.

The fog should burn off a little quicker this morning and the occurrence of some peeks of sunshine will be more frequent this afternoon. This is the result of a slight reduction in the moisture. Still, though, it will be plenty cloudy for most of the day.

The best chance for some clearing will come late in the afternoon and into the early evening, similar to Wednesday. Fog and clouds will then redevelop during the nighttime hours.

Winds will be light and variable across the region. High temperatures this afternoon should make it into the mid 70s throughout the area. A few higher elevations may stick closer to the low 70s. Nighttime temperatures will again drop to the upper 50s and low 60s.

Friday should have more of a mix of sun and clouds once the morning fog and thicker clouds burn off. There will still be plenty of clouds, especially across the southern half of the region, but it will not be so surprising when the sun pokes out, either.

No other changes are expected tomorrow, with winds still being nearly calm and highs again reaching the mid 70s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday october 7 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Weekend Rain Chances Dissipate

An area of low pressure caught up in the doldrums over the eastern United States has been drifting northwestward through the Southeast and into the mid-Mississippi River Valley. Unsettled weather extends east of this low into the Ohio River Valley as well.

As this low continues northward, it will weaken further. It is looking increasingly likely that all the precipitation with this system will stay to our west as it dissipates.

A shower this weekend cannot be totally ruled out, especially later Saturday and Saturday night, but these should be few and far between.

On Sunday, a new low will develop along the Mid-Atlantic coast. This should stay far enough southeast to miss our region, too.

The wind will finally kick up on Saturday, coming in from the southeast with speeds around 10 mph and gusts of 25-30 mph. Similar winds are expected on Sunday as well.

With the southeasterly flow, temperatures will set up a southeast to northwest gradient, with the warmer air to the northwest. The Rochester area should spend both days in the mid 70s with a fair amount of sunshine.

Meanwhile, areas such as Elmira, Ithaca, and Cortland may remain in the mid 60s with more clouds.

Sunshine will increase substantially on Monday despite some early clouds. Tuesday, too, will have a good deal of sunshine and just a few clouds. Highs will push into the mid 70s on Monday with upper 70s on Tuesday.

The next chance for rain will come on Wednesday, but even that does not look too impressive at this point. A better chance for rain will come next weekend when a strong cold front ends the warm weather and sends temperatures back to more seasonable levels.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday october 7 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.