Early Week Weather
Much of the region is off to a cloudy start this morning as a warm front lifts north.
Rain associated with the front is far off to the northwest, where the front is stronger, and will not move into the area. Sunshine across the Southern Tier will attempt to push northward, but with mixed results.
Most areas should see at least some sunshine mixing in with the clouds. As a general rule of thumb, the further south, the sunnier the skies.
There is a small chance for a stray shower or thunderstorm or two this afternoon, mainly for areas west of Seneca Lake. The majority of the region should stay dry, though.
South and southwest winds will blow at up to 10 mph today with top gusts reaching 20-25 mph. Even with somewhat limited sunshine, these winds will help nudge temperatures upward. Many areas will be near to just above 80 degrees this afternoon.
With clouds and south winds continuing tonight, temperatures will stick to the low 60s for most areas. Clouds will thicken further Tuesday morning and a cold front will begin to move into the area.
Rain will be possible in the morning but should be scattered. Widespread rain is then expected to move west to east during the early afternoon hours. Several waves of showers and a few rumbles of thunder are expected throughout the rest of the daytime hours.
Rainfall amounts may end up highly variable with localized pockets over an inch. On the flip side, a few isolated pockets could end up with just a quarter-inch or less. Most areas should see around a half-inch, give or take a couple tenths of an inch.
Temperatures will peak during the midday hours, just before the rain begins. Most areas should be in the low and mid 70s during this time, with upper 60s and low 70s during the rainy afternoon.
South and southwest winds will be on the blustery side, with speeds around 15 mph and gusts of 30-40 mph. The strongest winds look to be during the midday and early afternoon.
Lack of Heat
Wednesday looks like a dry day between weather systems, with Tuesday’s system departing and Thursday’s not yet arriving.
Skies will be a mix of sun and clouds with no rain expected. Winds will be light out of the northwest and north with speeds at or under 5 mph.
Temperatures will be seasonable and should only depart from the climatological averages by a couple of degrees. All but a few hilltops should make it into the mid 70s.
Clouds will increase Wednesday evening with rain arriving during the predawn hours. Rain will continue through Thursday morning. There is still some uncertainty about how this area of rain will evolve and how much will fall.
The rain should move on by Thursday afternoon, allowing for some late sun and northwest winds gusting as high as 30 mph. With the rain followed by northwest winds, highs will have a time making it beyond the upper 60s. If enough late sun works out, some low 70s are not out of the question.
Friday should be generally dry, though a few stray showers cannot be ruled out, especially late in the day. Temperatures will nudge upward into the low 70s.
The weekend is uncertain as an area of low pressure is expected along the eastern seaboard. This could bring at least a few showers into the area, probably on Saturday. Temperatures will probably stick to the upper 60s.
The early part of next week looks relatively dry with temperatures increasing. Wednesday looks like the warmest day next week at this early juncture with highs likely ending up somewhere in the 80s. Temperatures are likely to return to the 70s quickly thereafter.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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